An analyst creates a probabilistic scenario analysis for projecting stock market returns. The analyst's work is shown in the above table. The Interpretation of the table can be described as follows: The analyst assigns a probability of 18% to the first scenario, which projects a stock market return of 30%. Subsequent rows can be interpreted similarly. The expected return of the analysť's projections is closest to: O 100%
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Risk and return
Before understanding the concept of Risk and Return in Financial Management, understanding the two-concept Risk and return individually is necessary.
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Capital asset pricing model, also known as CAPM, shows the relationship between the expected return of the investment and the market at risk. This concept is basically used particularly in the case of stocks or shares. It is also used across finance for pricing assets that have higher risk identity and for evaluating the expected returns for the assets given the risk of those assets and also the cost of capital.
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- Using the stock price data for any two companies provided below carry out the following tasks: 1.Compute, for each asset: i.Total Returns ii.Expected returns iii.standard deviation iv.Correlation Coefficient 2.Construct the variance-covariance matrix 3.Construct equally weighted portfolio and calculate Expected Return, Standard Deviation and Sharpe ratio. 4.Reconstruct equally weighted portfolio and calculate Expected Return, Standard Deviation and Sharpe ratio. 5.Use Solver to determine optimal risky portfolio. 6.Create hypothetical portfolios (commencing from Weight A=0 and weight B=100) 7.Calculate Expected return and Standard Deviation for all the above combinations 8.Graph the efficient frontier 9.Graph the optimal portfolio 10.Assuming that the investors prefers lower level of risk than what a portfolio of risky assets offer, introduce a risk free asset in the portfolio with a return of 3% 11.Using hypothetical weights (A= Portfolio of Risky Assets, B= 1 Risk Free…Assume that you run a regression on the raw returns of the stock of Company J against the raw returns of the market and find an intercept of 1.324 percent and a beta of 2.36. If the risk-free rate is 2.64 percent, and using the concept of Jensen's Alpha, then determine by how much this stock beat the market. Answer in decimal format. For example, if you answer is 3.33%, enter "0.0333"Karen Kay, a portfolio manager at Collins Asset Management, is using thecapital asset pricing model (CAPM) for making recommendations to her clients.Her research department has developed the information shown in the followingexhibit.Forecast Returns, Standard Deviations, and BetasForecast Return Standard Deviation BetaLow β stock (X) 14.0% 36% 0.8High β stock (Y) 17.0% 25% 1.5Market index 14.0% 15% 1.0Risk-free rate 5.0%(a) Calculate expected return and alpha for each stock.(b) Identify and justify which stock would be more appropriate for an investorwho wants to add this stock to a well-diversified equity portfolio.(c) Now consider Karen employs the “Betting Against Beta” strategy and let, , and denote the portfolio weights of the investmentin each of the asset classes (e.g. risk-free asset, low beta stock, market index,high beta stock, respectively) such that .According to its investment mandate, Collins Asset Management shouldtarget a gross leverage of 2.3. How much does she have to…
- Suppose that you observe the following information in Table 2 for stocks A and B: Table 2 Expected Return (%) 11% Stock Beta A 0.8 B 14% 1.5 The risk-free rate of return is 6% and the expected rate of return on the market index is 12%. Using the Single-Index Model, calculate the alpha of both stocks. Show your calculations. Explain what the alpha of the single-factor model represents and interpret your results.The market and Stock J have the following probability distributions: Probability rM rJ 0.3 14 % 18 % 0.4 10 4 0.3 18 13 Calculate the expected rates of return for the market and Stock J. Round your answers to one decimal place. Expected rate of return (Market): % Expected rate of return (Stock J): % Calculate the standard deviations for the market and Stock J. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. Standard deviation (Market): % Standard deviation (Stock J): %The market and Stock J have the following probability distributions: a. Calculate the expected rates of return for the market and Stock J. b. Calculate the standard deviations for the market and Stock J.
- When working with the CAPM, which of the following factors can be determined with the most precision? a. The beta coefficient of "the market," which is the same as the beta of an average stock. b. The beta coefficient, bi, of a relatively safe stock. c. The market risk premium (RPM). d. The most appropriate risk-free rate, rRF. e. The expected rate of return on the market, rM.2. The expected returns for David’s portfolio were calculated based on three possible conditions in the market. Such conditions will vary from time to time, and for each condition there will be a specific outcome. These probabilities and outcomes can be represented in the form of a continuous probability distribution graph. For example, the continuous probability distributions of rates of return on stocks for two different companies are shown on the following graph: Based on the graph’s information, which of the following statements is true? A. Company A has a smaller standard deviation. B. Company B has a smaller standard deviation.3. Consider three stocks A, B and C and a market index M with the following prices: Year TO T1 T2 T3 A 85 108 110 125 B 12 14 13 15 C 50 60 70 75 M 1128 1435 1578 1786 The risk-free rate equals 4%. a. Compute the expected return and risk on each stock and the market index. b. Construct the matrix of variances and covariances between these assets. c. Construct the matrix of the correlation coefficients. d. Compute the beta coefficients of these companies and the expected return at equilibrium. e. Construct the minimum risk portfolio P1 composed of A and C. Compute the expected return and risk on this portfolio. f. Construct a portfolio P2 composed of A, B and C in proportions of 20%, 30% and 50%. Compute the expected return and risk on this portfolio. What is the contribution of each security to the return and risk pf this portfolio? g. Construct an equally weighted portfolio P3 composed of A, B, C and the risk-free rate. Compute the beta coefficient and position this portfolio with…
- Consider an event study of the following stock. Realised return Market return t = 0 (event day) 0.1 0.1 t =1 0.06 0.04 t = 2 0.03 0.02 t = 3 0.015 0.01 Suppose that the estimated market model is . What is the CAR (cumulative abnormal returns) for t = 3?Given: Calculate the expected returns and expected standard deviations of a two-stock portfolio having a correlation coefficient of 0.70 under the following conditions a. w1 = 1.00 b. w1 = 0.75 c. w1 = 0.50 d. w1 = 0.25 e. w1 = 0.05 Plot the results on a return-risk graph. Without calculations, draw in what the curve would look like first if the correlation coefficient had been 0.00 and then if it had been −0.70.The market and Stock J have the following probability distributions: Probability rM rJ 0.3 15.00 % 19.00 % 0.4 10.00 6.00 0.3 18.00 10.00 The data has been collected in the Microsoft Excel Online file below. Open the spreadsheet and perform the required analysis to answer the questions below. Open spreadsheet Calculate the expected rate of return for the market. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.fill in the blank %Calculate the expected rate of return for Stock J. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.fill in the blank % Calculate the standard deviation for the market. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.fill in the blank %Calculate the standard deviation for Stock J. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places.fill in the blank %