a. Consider the medium complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative dy the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places. The payoff for the medium complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $ million, the large complex remains the best decision. b. Consider the small complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative de the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places. The payoff for the small complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $ million, the large complex remains the best decision. .

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Student Portal | Main
BUS-660 Topic 1 DQ 1
/ilm/takeAssignment/takeAssignmentMain.do?invoker=&takeAssignmentSessionLocator=&inprogress=false
eBook
X
X
State of Nature
Decision Alternative Strong Demand S₁ Weak Demand S₂
Small complex, d₁
7
6
Medium complex, d₂
12
6
Large complex, d3
19
-9
CengageNOWv2 | Online teachin X MindTap-Cengage Learning
Problem 4-11 (Algorithmic)
Following is the payoff table for the Pittsburgh Development Corporation (PDC) Condominium Project. Amounts are in millions of dollars.
x +
A
million, the large complex remains the best decision.
30 G
Suppose PDC is optimistic about the potential for the luxury high-rise condominium complex and that this optimism leads to an initial subjective probability assessment of 0.8 that demand will be strong (S₁) and a corresponding probability of
0.2 that demand will be weak (S₂). Assume the decision alternative to build the large condominium complex was found to be optimal using the expected value approach. Also, a sensitivity analysis was conducted for the payoffs associated
with this decision alternative. It was found that the large complex remained optimal as long as the payoff for the strong demand was greater than or equal to $15.75 million and as long as the payoff for the weak demand was greater than or
equal to -$22 million.
a. Consider the medium complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative da the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places.
The payoff for the medium complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $
b. Consider the small complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative de the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places.
The payoff for the small complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $
million, the large complex remains the best decision.
Previous
Next
M
>
O
***
X
? q
0₁
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Transcribed Image Text:Student Portal | Main BUS-660 Topic 1 DQ 1 /ilm/takeAssignment/takeAssignmentMain.do?invoker=&takeAssignmentSessionLocator=&inprogress=false eBook X X State of Nature Decision Alternative Strong Demand S₁ Weak Demand S₂ Small complex, d₁ 7 6 Medium complex, d₂ 12 6 Large complex, d3 19 -9 CengageNOWv2 | Online teachin X MindTap-Cengage Learning Problem 4-11 (Algorithmic) Following is the payoff table for the Pittsburgh Development Corporation (PDC) Condominium Project. Amounts are in millions of dollars. x + A million, the large complex remains the best decision. 30 G Suppose PDC is optimistic about the potential for the luxury high-rise condominium complex and that this optimism leads to an initial subjective probability assessment of 0.8 that demand will be strong (S₁) and a corresponding probability of 0.2 that demand will be weak (S₂). Assume the decision alternative to build the large condominium complex was found to be optimal using the expected value approach. Also, a sensitivity analysis was conducted for the payoffs associated with this decision alternative. It was found that the large complex remained optimal as long as the payoff for the strong demand was greater than or equal to $15.75 million and as long as the payoff for the weak demand was greater than or equal to -$22 million. a. Consider the medium complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative da the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places. The payoff for the medium complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $ b. Consider the small complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative de the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places. The payoff for the small complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $ million, the large complex remains the best decision. Previous Next M > O *** X ? q 0₁ O
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