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How Does Deflation Affect The Economy

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. If the United Kingdom leaves the British EU will push capital away from the region and toward a safe haven market including Japan and the United States Treasuries. This will raise relative currency values and interest rates which will further lower the market. A higher Japanese Yen and United States dollar are negative to both economies export sectors. This will be unhelpful in the case of Japan because it will reinvigorate decades of deflation in the economy. China will receive pressure from the higher U.S. dollar it will be caught in between its two largest export markets the United States and the European Union. The strong inflation services on tradable goods for the United States will negatively impact domestic demand trends on …show more content…

We continue to expect some level of Eurozone breakup over the medium term (i.e., not next year, but before 10 years) in our base case scenario for the region. Underlying this thesis is a recognition of the shearing forces to the Eurozone macroeconomy, but the overlay of the political and social environment potentially fills in the narrative of how an economic potentiality may become reality. China faces further negative pressure on growth rates. The bulk of deceleration pressures are intrinsically of domestic origin. However, the likely need to counterbalance an even bumpier global environment will further slow progress toward a new, slower but stronger economic model. The inward turn of the Chinese economy that we anticipated in our base case scenario may be facilitated or accelerated by similar inward turns implied by the emerging political and social climate in other parts of the world. Business investment has also suffered since the Brexit referendum, as firms have been affected by a cloud of uncertainty that has descended over the UK’s future trade arrangements with the rest of the EU – and the associate threat of tariffs and customs barriers. Investment fell by 0.9 per cent in the final quarter of last year, contributing to the first calendar year decline since 2009.According to the Bank of England, the level of business investment is expected to be around 25 per cent lower by

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