EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
14th Edition
ISBN: 9781337514835
Author: MOYER
Publisher: CENGAGE LEARNING - CONSIGNMENT
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(Related to Checkpoint 13.1) (Forecasting cash flows using the expected value) Koch Transportation is contemplating the acquisition of LH Transport, a competing trucking firm. Koch's CFO estimates that during the next year LH Transport's
cash flows from the acquisition will vary depending on the state of the local economy:
a. Calculate the expected cash flow for next year using the estimates provided above.
b. Assume the probability of a recession increases to 38 percent, the normal scenario probability remains at 53 percent, and the expansion probability drops to only 9 percent. What is your estimate of the expected cash flow for next year under
these circumstances?
c. Your analysis of the acquisition suggests that for the investment to have at least a zero NPV, it must produce an annual expected cash flow of $83,610 per year over the next five years. Assuming that the cash flow you estimated in part a is the
expected cash flow for Years one through five, what would you like to know…
Happy Time Inc. is expected to generate the following cash flows for the next year, as shown in the table below. Happy Time now only has one outstanding debt with
a face value of $110 million to be repaid in the next year. The current market value for the debt is $67 million. The tax rate is zero. If the firm is financed by common
equity and debt, what is the expected value of common equity next year?
Cash flow in the next year
Probability Amount
Economy
Boom
0.3
$110 million
Normal
0.4
$101 million
Recession 0.3
$61 million
$26.8 million
$24.7 million
$0
-$18.3 million
Happy Time Inc. is expected to generate the following cash flows for the next year, as shown in the table
below. Happy Time now only has one outstanding debt with a face value of $110 million to be repaid in the
next year. The current market value for the debt is $67 million. The tax rate is zero. If you invest in the
corporate debt of Happy Time Inc. today, what is your expected percentage return on this investment?
Cash flow in the next year
Economy Probability Amount
Boom
0.3
Normal 0.4
Recession 0.3
O 36.87%
O -26.37%
64.8%
O-16.63%
$110 million
$101 million
$61 million
Chapter 14 Solutions
EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
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