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Brigham Young University, Idaho *
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Economics
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Apr 3, 2024
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risk
RISK REGISTER
[Name of System, Process, etc.]
March 23, 2024
Risk Title
Probability
Impact
If/Then Statement
Risk Response
Risk Owner
5%
10
0.50
Sell as quickly as possible
Project Manager
1.
Resistance to changy
Resistance to Change
Department Chair
2.
Resource Constraints
Resource Constraints
Project Coordinator
3.
Lack of Training or support
4.
5.
Faculty Advisors
Additional Information:
1.
Continuous monitoring of faculty feedback and engagement levels during the plan implementation.
2.
Regular surveys or feedback mechanisms for students to gauge their adaptation to revised assignments.
3.
Quarterly progress reviews with faculty members to address any emerging challenges or concerns.
4.
Budget allocation for additional resources, if required, based on the progress and needs of the faculty.
5.
Creation of a support network or forum for faculty members to share experiences and best practices during assignment redesign.
RISK SCORE
Contingency
(if applicable)
Market crash within the next 8 months
If
the housing market crashes, then
real estate values will plummet and the project will be derailed
the Phoenix housing market to determine next If faculty resists, then plan delays. Response: Encorourage participation.
If faculty lacks resources, then subpar revisions.
Response: Consider outsourcing.
Training Coordinator
If unclear, then misunderstood requirements.
Response: Implement rapid clarification.
Communication Manager
If struggling, then possible performance decline.
Response: Provide extra support.
PROBABILITY & IMPACT MATRIX
Name of System, Process, etc.]
March 23, 2024
Impact
9-10
1
7-8
1
1
5-6
1
1
Zone Total: 1
3-4
1
Zone Total: 3
1-2
Zone Total: 2
1-20%
21-40%
41-60%
61-80%
81-100%
Probability
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Related Questions
Give one real life situation example for 7 Principles of Engineering Economy
5. Consider all relevant criteria
6. Make risk and uncertainly explicit
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NewTech wants to consider risk and return in evaluating the following alternatives:
a. Draw the decision tree for the problem.
b. Which will you select based on the expected value of each alternative’s PW?
answer a and b.
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Assume you are faced with two decision alternatives and two states of nature whose profit payoff table is shown below.
Decision Alternative
State of Nature 1
State of Nature 2
Decision 1
25
30
Decision 2
45
15
The probability of state of nature 1 is 0.4.(a) Compute the expected value of each alternative.(b) Which decision is the optimal decision?(c) Compute the expected value with perfect information.(d) Compute the expected value of perfect information.
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2. Airtight Manufacturing produces plastic cases that utility companies buy to protect electronic components on utility poles from weather damage.
(a) The protective case currently used by utility companies has a 0.045 probability of cracking or breaking in any given year. When a protective case cracks or breaks, the utility company incurs a $800 expense to replace the case. What is the expected value of the utility company’s repair costs per protective case? Show your work.
(b) Airtight has recently developed a stronger material for its protective case. The use of this stronger material reduces the case’s probability of cracking or breaking and serves as a differentiating factor for estimating this product’s VTC. Use the product-needs matrix described in the course to classify this differentiating factor. What type of product characteristic is it? What type of customer need does it satisfy? Justify your answers.
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2. Focus on the Differences
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The decision analysis is
a. General method of decision making
b. Analysis of the correctness of problem solving procedures
c. Risk analysis before decision making
d. Problem solving urgency analy
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1st drop down options
- decrease
-increase
2nd drop down options
-7.5 million
-3 million
-5 million
-18.75 million
Note:-
Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer.
Take care of plagiarism.
Answer completely.
You will get up vote for sure.
arrow_forward
1 Consider the two investments listed below with possible outcomes and probabilities:
INVESTMENT
(in $1000)
P
SAFE
RISKY
INVESTMENT
AMOUNT
40+
40+
GOOD
SCENARIO
OUTCOME
45+
80+
AVERAGE+
SCENARIO
PROB+ OUTCOME
0.40+
0.40
42+
45
BAD+
SCENARIO
PROB OUTCOME PROB
0.20
35+
0.20
10
0.40€
0.40
a) What are the expected payoffs (E(x)) and standard deviations for each investment?
b) Suppose I have utility function U(*) = √(x). What is the expected utility from each investment?
c) Which investment will I choose, if any? Show and explain your work and provide the intuition.<
d) What is the value of the risk premium for the SAFE investment? Show and explain your work and provide
the intuition.
e) What is the value of the risk premium for the RISKY investment? Show and explain your work and provide
the intuition.<
43
A
✔
→
arrow_forward
How Does the Cost of Health Insurance Premiums Vary By Aqe?
NGPF
Next Gen
Pe sonal
Finance
Data Crunch
Insurance
Monthly Health Insurance Premium - Silver Tier Plan
Average Cost of a Silver Policy by Age
$1,200
$1,123
$1.050
$1,016
$900
$835
$750
$668
$600
$540
$457
$478
$450
$425
$374
$376
$300
$150
$0
21
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
64
Age
ValuePenguin
Monthly Premium
1. What is the ANNUAL premium for an individual
who is 21 years old?
2. Between what two ages does the largest
percentage change in premium occur?
рок 1
DOK 1
3. How would you summarize the data in this chart in one sentence?
DOK 2
4. If this same data were reported for car insurance, instead of health insurance, would the graph look similar?
Why or why not?
5. If this graph were to continue outward, for individuals over 64, describe what you think the bars that follow
would look like.
www.ngpf.org
Last updated: 7/8/20
Monthly Premium
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The quality firm mentioned earlier, are having another project that is facing a problem to meet the deadline, the information provided below will help in crashing the project to meet the deadline.- Total Project Indirect cost = 500$.- Indirect Reduction in Cost/day= 60$
I. What is the total project cost?II. What is the slope value and max crash for the Improvement task ?III. What is the recommended task to crash first in this project?IV. What is the new total project cost after the firs crash iteration ?
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Decision Alternative Up S₁ Stable s₂ Down S3
Investment A, d₁
Investment B, d₂
Investment C, d3
Probabilities
Profit
Investment A, d₂
Investment B, d₂
Investment C, dz
100
70
Economic Conditions
45
0.95
thousand
thousand
thousand
0.85
0.65
0.45
Profit Decision Maker A
$70,000
$45,000
$20,000
20
(a) Using the expected value approach, which decision is preferred?
E(d₂) $ 68
E(d₂) = $ 56.25
E(d3) = $45
The expected value approach recommends Investment A, d. ✔
Indifference Probability (p)
45
45
(b) For the lottery having a payoff of $100,000 with probability p and $0 with probability (1-p), two decision makers expressed
the following indifference probabilities. Find the most preferred decision for each decision maker using the expected utility
approach.
0.15
6.95 X
Decision Maker A
0.6
Decision Maker B
0.35
0.2
Expected Utilities
0
20
45
0.20
Calculate the expected utility for each of the decision alternatives for each of the decision makers. (Assign a utility of 10 to the
payoff of…
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Q
VC
AVC
TC
ATC
MC
$0
$0
$30
$0
$0
1
$40
$40
$70
$70
$40
2
$100
$50
$130
$65
$60
3
$180
$60
$210
$70
$80
4
$330
$82.5
$360
$90
$150
If the firm can sell its product for $60, it will not
sell 2 units and incur losses of $10
sell 1 unit and incur losses of $10
а.
b.
continue to operate in hopes the market price increases
shut down and incur losses of $30
с.
d.
arrow_forward
Revenue and Costs ($)
TC
P61
Given
TFC = $40.00
Q1 = 30.00
Q2 = 40.00
TR
P6
P5
Q3 = 50.00
Q4 = 80.00
Q5 = 86.00
P4.
P1 = $40.00
P2 = $50.00
P3 = $60.0o
P4 = $150.00
P5 = $200.00
P6 = $210.00
P61 = $320.00
P3
P2
P1
Q1 Q2
Q4 Q5
Q3
Exhibit TR-TC
Output (Q)
Refer to Exhibit TR-TC for a typical competitive firm. At an output level of Q5, the firm's
losses is about
O $100.00
O $90.00
O $110.00
O $120.00
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Malaysia
You're the manager of global opportunities for a U.S. manufacturer that is considering expanding sales into Asia. Your market research has identified the market potential in Malaysia, the Philippines, and Singapore as described in the following table:
Success Level
Big
Mediocre
Failure
Malaysia
Probability
0.7
0.1
0.2
Units
1,300,000
416,000
0
Philippines
Probability
0.2
0.3
0.5
Units
600,000
360,000
0
Singapore
Probability
0.4
0.3
0.3
Units
1,500,000
750,000
0
The product sells for $20, and each unit has a constant marginal cost of $16. Assume that the (fixed) cost of entering the market (regardless of which market you select) is $500,000.
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Market
Expected Number of Units Sold
Expected Profit
Malaysia
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a.
-50,000
b.
100,000
c.
-100,000
d.
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First, hover over each term or phrase to read the description. Then, click and drag each term or phrase into the
correct place in the rational decision-making process.
Measuring performance
Identify the problem or
opportunity
Consultants.
Inclusive or exclusive
Generate alternative.
solutions
Inclusive or exclusive
Consultants
Collecting data
Evaluate alternatives and Implement and evaluate
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select a solution
Measuring performance
Collecting data
Reset
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SNA Framework must be:
Question 8Answer
a.
Timely
b.
Comprehensive
c.
Definite
d.
Adjustable
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UneLogin
OneLogin
B Achieve Assignments X
A Assessment - Microec X
courses/b390dd47-7af5-4231-b050-94a970e501f8/4/dc7abv/tools/assessment/items/ef5d51bb-def4-42fe-97cb-63d47b5e0223.
Completed 20 out of 20
Question 7 of 20
If a household has a ratio of income to poverty of 1.2, it is considered to be
O not poor.
10od
O near poor.
O severely poor.
Activate
Go to Setti
LAPTOP LOGIN
USERNAME: student
er
PASSWORD: Broward1
TravelMate B
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Directions: Discuss each task of a professional safety
engineer using well thought of responses.
The Professional Task
Development of
accident
Identification
Communication
Measurement
and appraisal of
the accident
of accident
prevention and
loss control
of effectives of
prevention
information
controls
problem
procedures
Feedback to be used for modifications
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Agamble based on a fair coin toss which pays $6.65 if the coin lands heads and $9.85 if the coin lands tails. (fair coin toss i.e. probability of heads is 50% = probability of tails is 50%)
EV
$8.25
E[U(w))
UJEV]
>_U(EV) Low
EU = U(EV) Neutral
EU =_U(EV) Neutral
u(w)
w"
624.81 $
561.51
u(w)
125+w
136.25 $
136.25
u(w)
Sin(w)
10.50 $
10.50
Arisk agent, whose utility is given by U(w) = 5In(W) and initial
wealth is $5,000 is faced with a potential loss of $3,800 with a probability
of p=0.17. What is the maximum premium they would be willing to pay to
protect themselves against this loss?
risk appetite
(wייט
EV
intial wealth
EU
41.37
5,000
U(w-y) = E[U(w)]
5In(5,000-y)=B17
find y
y= $
1,077.13 If you are given the opportunity to buy insurance for $500
alt y=
would you take the insurance?
Utility functions w>0
u(w)
w-9w
u(w)
5In(w)
u'(w)
u'(w)
u"(w)
u"(w)
A'(w) :>,,,,<=0
show your work
A(w)
Alw)
A'(w)
A'(w)
R(w)
R(w)
R'(w)
R'(w)
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O Night Project Directions School x
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O Growing corn on a farm for export.
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O Working in a car factory.
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Question.9. From the following information, ascertain which project is more
Project A
Project B
Cash Inflows
Probability
Cash Inflows
Probability
0.2
2,000
2,000
0.1
0.3
4,000
4,000
0.4
0.3
6,000
6,000
0.4
8,000
0.2
8,000
0.1
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N Owns a Disability Income policy that will cover him to age 65, allhough the insurance company has the right to change the premium rate for the overall risk class to which N is assigned. Which of he following types of renewability best describes this situation?
A.Noncancellable
B.Cancellable
C.Guaranteed Renewable
D.Optionally Renewable
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1. Penny's problem is to decide how large her Consulting firm should be. The annual return depends
on both the size of her consulting firm and a number of marketing factors. After a careful analysis,
Penny developed the following table:
SIZE (Consulting firm)
GOOD MARKET
AVERAGE
POOR MARKET
MARKET
SMALL
95,000
25000
-40000
MEDIUM
1,00,000
37500
-60000
LARGE
120000
50000
-110000
a. What is the best decision of Penny as per criteria of realism? What is the EMV of that best
decision (Assume a = 0.7)
b. What is the best decision of Penny as per minimax regret criterion? What is the EMV of that
best decision? [Clearly write down the intermediate Opportunity Loss Table(s) forthis part]
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I need help with this question ASAP!!! Thanks in advance
Note:-
Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism.Answer completely.You will get up vote for sure.
arrow_forward
The following are the P/E ratios (price of stock divided by projected earnings per share) for 20 banks.
50, 19, 22, 21, 25, 18, 31, 21, 19, 14, 15, 18, 17, 34, 29, 23, 14, 18, 22, 22
Send data to calculator
Find 20" and 75" percentiles for these ratios.
(a)
The 20th
percentile:
(b)
The 75th percentile:|
Continue
Cip
40
4-
%23
%24
3.
6.
7.
R.
00
%24
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