Consider the following time series data. Year Value 1 234 2 287 255 4 310 5 298 250 7 456 8 412 9. 525 10 446 Using the naïve method (most recent value) as the forecast for the next year, compute the forecast for year 11. Round your answer to two decimal places. 3.
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- Define Forecasts and forecast errors in time series anaylsis?If possible please use uniform series and geometric/arithmetic series with the table to solve the problems!Consider the following asset with it's returns over the last 3 years. The arithmetic mean is 8% 1yr 2yr Зуг 8% 10% 6% What is the geometric mean? (Be sure to go out at least 4 decimal places.) Respuesta:
- How was 1.40331 calculated?Print out the last page of this document and fill in the table according to the following information. The table on page 3 contains the population of the people in Boise every 10 years from 1910 to 2020. (a) Find the AROC for each interval of consecutive decades and write the value in the table on page 3. The first value is given as an example. (b) Find in the best approximation of the ROC for each decade in the table from 1920 through 2010. The first value is given as an example. (c) Find the AROC of the ROC for each interval of consecutive decades from 1920 to 2010 and write the value in the table on page 3. The first value is given as an example.Plot the logarithm of arrivals for each transportation mode against time, all on the same graph. Which now appears to be growing the fastest?
- Campus Advising needs to allocate time this week for office appointments, so she needs te forecast the number of students who will seek appointments. The advisor has gathered th following time series data recently: Period Student Appointments 4 weeks ago 95 3 weeks ago 80 2 weeks ago 65 Last week 50 Answer the next two questions (questions 11 and 12), based on this information. 11. What is this week's forecast for student appointments using a three-week moving average? a) 80 b) 50 c) 52 d) 65 e) 78QI: A college student has purchased some shares in a company so that the profits are according to the year as in the following table; Year 1997 1999 2001 2002 Profits 43 65 159 248 Use third order Lagrange interpolation to calculate the profit in the year 2000.A company that produces video equipment, including videocameras and televisions, is attempting to forecast what newproducts and product innovations might be technologicallyfeasible and that customers might demand 10 years into thefuture. Speculate on what type of qualitative methods itmight use to develop this type of forecast.
- K Real-Time Data Analysis Exercise What Are Dollars from the Past Worth Today? Compare how many dollars are needed today to match the purchasing power of dollars in the past. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August 2023 was 306.269 and the CPI for August 1988 was 119.000. "Real-time data provided by Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis The value in August 2023 of $1,500 paid in August 1988 is $. (Round your response to two decimal places)The number of users of a certain website (in millions) from 2004 through 2011 follows. Year Period Users (Millions) 2004 1. 2005 2 2006 11 2007 4 57 2008 146 2009 6. 359 2010 7 609 2011 846 (a) Construct a time series plot. 900 900 900 - 900 - 800 800 800 - 800 - 700 700 700- 700 - 600 600 600 600 500- 400- 500 500 500- 400 400 400 - 300- 300 300- 300 - 200- 100- 200 200- 200 100- 100- 100 2 4 6. 8 10 4 6 8 10 8 10 2. 4 6 8 10 Period Period Period Period What type of pattern exists? O The time series plot exhibits a downward linear trend. O The time series plot exhibits an upward linear trend. O The time series plot exhibits a downward curvilinear trend. O The time series plot exhibits an upward curvilinear trend. (b) Using Minitab or Excel, develop a quadratic trend equation that can be used to forecast users (in millions). (Round your numerical values to one decimal place.) T = Millions of Users Millions of UsersSuppose the index of prices received by date farmers in Oman for 2008 was 1.04 and the base year of this index was 1999. Then: (a) Relative to 1999, fam prices were 104% higher in 2008 (b) Relative to 2008, fam prices were 4% higier in 1999 (c) Relative to:2008, farm prices were 104% higher in 1999 fRelative to 1999, farm prices were 4% higher in 2008