Macroeconomics (Fourth Edition)
Macroeconomics (Fourth Edition)
4th Edition
ISBN: 9780393603767
Author: Charles I. Jones
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
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Chapter 9, Problem 5E

(a)

To determine

Calculate the slope of the Phillips curve.

(b)

To determine

Check which is the better option while consider the short-run output rather than inflation rate.

(c)

To determine

Check which is the better option while consider the inflation rate rather than short-run output.

(d)

To determine

The trade-off in terms of Phillips curve.

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You observe the following short-run Phillips curve for the economy: T = 9.2 -0.26(u - 6.5%) + v. There are no supply shocks to the economy, and the actual unemployment rate is 6.5% (and will stay that way for the foreseeable future). What will expected inflation be next year? Write your answer as a percentage, and round at one (1) decimal. Do not write the percentage sign. If you need more information to answer the question, write "O".
Larry Summers, Professor of Economics at Harvard and ex-Treasury Secretary and Chief Economist at the World Bank, has been making lots of waves of late. He's expressed his fears that inflation would come in stronger than the Fed expected - he was right -- and now he's predicting that there's factoring in new trends like: 40% chance of a recession ahead as the Fed tightens to reduce inflationary pressures and higher wages force cutbacks in business output. Come up with your own forecast of the next year or two, o supply chains issues (that seem to be easing, by the way) • Fed policy that will turn contractionary o a new $1.7 trillion infrastructure bill to be passed by Congresss o continuation of the rising trend of worker retirements o possible weakening of the dollar alongside rising tensions with Russia.
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