EBK CFIN
EBK CFIN
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337671743
Author: BESLEY
Publisher: CENGAGE LEARNING - CONSIGNMENT
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Chapter 5, Problem 11PROB
Summary Introduction

Expectation theory:

Expectation theory is used to find forward interest rate based on the prevailing long term interest rates.

Calculate the forward rate as follows:

Forward rate=((Nthyear×Nthyear interest rate)((N-1)thyear×(N-1)thyear interest rate))

Given two year Treasury bond rate is 1.2%, three year Treasury bond rate is 1.4% and four year Treasury bond rate is 1.9%.

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The three-year interest rate is 7.40% and the four-year interest rate is 8.6%. The liquidity premium for three-year and four-year bonds are 0.40 and 0.60 respectively. Calculate the adjusted forward rate forecast for three-year periods in the future
1) Suppose that today's one-year interest rate is 5%. Consider the following one-year interest rates expected to occur over the next four years: 6%, 7%, 8% and 9%.a. Calculate the interest rate for two-year bonds, based on the expectations theory.b. What about five-year bonds?
Suppose you can observe that 1-year bond interest rate is 4%, 2-year bond interest rate is 8%, and 3-year bond interest rate is 10% at time t. It is also known that the term premium on a 2-year bond is 1% and the term premium on a 3-year bond is 1.5%. a) What are the market's expected 1-year bond interest rates for the next two years from time t? b) How to interpret those expected short-term interest rates? (what would be the "possible" economic meanings in the expected short- term interest rates?) Discuss as least two "candidates" to explain them.
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The U.S. Treasury Markets Explained | Office Hours with Gary Gensler; Author: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uKXZSzY2ZbA;License: Standard Youtube License