
a.
To obtain: Theprobability that the adoption was from Ethiopia given that it was from 2010.
a.

Answer to Problem 34E
The probabilitythat the adoption was from Ethiopia given that it was from 2010 is 0.359.
Explanation of Solution
Given info:
The data shows that the numbers offoreign adoptions from the United States.
Calculation:
The total number of adoptions is shown in the Table (1).
2006 | 2010 | Total | |
China | 6,493 | 3,401 | 9,894 |
Ethiopia | 732 | 2,513 | 3,245 |
Russia | 3,706 | 1,082 | 4,788 |
Total | 10,931 | 6,996 | 17,927 |
Table (1)
Let
The formula for
P(A)=Number of outcomes in ATotal number of outcomes in the sample space
Substitute ‘6,996’ for ‘Number of outcomes in A’ and 17,927 for ‘Total number of outcomes in the
P(A)=6,99617,927=0.39
The formula for probability of event A and B is,
P(A and B)=Number of outcomes in A and BTotal number of outcomes in the sample space
Substitute ‘2,513’for ‘Number of outcomes in A and B’ and 17,927 for ‘Total number of outcomes in the sample space’,
P(A and B)=2,51317,927=0.14
Conditional rule:
The formula for probability of A given B is, P(B|A)=P(A and B)P(A)
Substitute 0.14 for ‘ P(A and B)’ and 0.39for P(A).
The required probability is,
P(B|A)=P(A and B)P(A)=0.140.39=0.359
Thus, the probability that the adoption was from Ethiopia given that it was from 2010 is 0.359.
b.
To obtain: The probability that the adoptionwas from Russia and in 2006.
b.

Answer to Problem 34E
The probability that the adoptionwas from Russia and in 2006is 0.074.
Explanation of Solution
Let event C denote that the adoption was from Russia and event D denote that adoption was in 2006.
The formula for probability of event C and D is,
P(C and D)=Number of outcomes in C and DTotal number of outcomes in the sample space
Substitute 3,706 for ‘Number of outcomes in C and D’ and 17,927 for ‘Total number of outcomes in the sample space’,
P(C and D)=3,70617,927=0.207
Thus, the probability that the adoptionwas from Russiaand in 2006 is 0.207.
c.
To obtain: The probability that the adoptiondid not occur in 2006 and was not from Ethiopia.
c.

Answer to Problem 34E
The probability that the adoption did not occur in 2006 and was not from Ethiopiais 0.25.
Explanation of Solution
Let event E denote that theadoptionwas from Ethiopiaand event D denote thatadoptionwas from 2006.
The formula for probability of event ˉE and ˉD is,
P(ˉE and ˉD)=Number of outcomes in ˉE and ˉDTotal number of outcomes in the sample space
Substitute ‘4,483 =(3,401+1,082) for ‘Number of outcomes in ˉE and ˉD’ and 17,927 for ‘Total number of outcomes in the sample space’,
P(ˉE and ˉD)=4,48317,927=0.25
Thus, the probability that the adoptionwas did not occur in 2006 and was not from Ethiopiais 0.25.
d.
To obtain: The probabilitythatboth the adoptionsare from china.
d.

Answer to Problem 34E
The probabilitythat both the adoptionsare from china is
Explanation of Solution
Given info:
There are 2 adoptionschosen at random.
Calculation:
Multiplicationrule:
If the A and B are independent, then P(A and B)=P(A)P(B).
Let event F denote that theadoptionwas from china.
The formula for probability of event F is,
P(F)=Number of outcomes in FTotal number of outcomes in the sample space
Substitute 9,894 for ‘Number of outcomes in F’ and 17,927 for ‘Total number of outcomes in the sample space’,
P(F)=9,89417,927=0.552
Hence, the probabilitythat theadoptionwas from chinais 0.552.
Each adoption is independent of the other.
By applying multiplication rule, the required probability is,
P(F and F)=P(F)×P(F)=0.552×0.552=0.305
Therefore, the probabilitythat both the adoptionsare from china is 0.305.
Interpretation:
There is a 0.305 probabilitythat both the adoptionsare from china.
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Chapter 4 Solutions
Elementary Statistics: A Step By Step Approach
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