Concept explainers
a)
To determine: The way to maximize profit.
Linear programming:
It is a mathematical modeling procedure where a linear function is maximized or minimized subject to certain constraints. This method is widely useful in making a quantitative analysis which is essential for making important business decisions.
b)
To use: A solver table to know the impact on optimal profit due to the increase of availability of crude 1.
Linear programming:
It is a mathematical modeling procedure where a linear function is maximized or minimized subject to certain constraints. This method is widely useful in making a quantitative analysis which is essential for making important business decisions.
c)
To use: A solver table to know the impact on optimal profit due to the increase of availability of crude 2.
Linear programming:
It is a mathematical modeling procedure where a linear function is maximized or minimized subject to certain constraints. This method is widely useful in making a quantitative analysis which is essential for making important business decisions.
d)
To use: A solver table to know the impact on optimal profit due to the change in the price of gas 2.
Linear programming:
It is a mathematical modeling procedure where a linear function is maximized or minimized subject to certain constraints. This method is widely useful in making a quantitative analysis which is essential for making important business decisions.
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Chapter 4 Solutions
Practical Management Science
- Although the normal distribution is a reasonable input distribution in many situations, it does have two potential drawbacks: (1) it allows negative values, even though they may be extremely improbable, and (2) it is a symmetric distribution. Many situations are modelled better with a distribution that allows only positive values and is skewed to the right. Two of these that have been used in many real applications are the gamma and lognormal distributions. @RISK enables you to generate observations from each of these distributions. The @RISK function for the gamma distribution is RISKGAMMA, and it takes two arguments, as in =RISKGAMMA(3,10). The first argument, which must be positive, determines the shape. The smaller it is, the more skewed the distribution is to the right; the larger it is, the more symmetric the distribution is. The second argument determines the scale, in the sense that the product of it and the first argument equals the mean of the distribution. (The mean in this example is 30.) Also, the product of the second argument and the square root of the first argument is the standard deviation of the distribution. (In this example, it is 3(10=17.32.) The @RISK function for the lognormal distribution is RISKLOGNORM. It has two arguments, as in =RISKLOGNORM(40,10). These arguments are the mean and standard deviation of the distribution. Rework Example 10.2 for the following demand distributions. Do the simulated outputs have any different qualitative properties with these skewed distributions than with the triangular distribution used in the example? a. Gamma distribution with parameters 2 and 85 b. Gamma distribution with parameters 5 and 35 c. Lognormal distribution with mean 170 and standard deviation 60arrow_forwardAssume the demand for a companys drug Wozac during the current year is 50,000, and assume demand will grow at 5% a year. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Wozac per year, it will cost 16x. Each unit of Wozac is sold for 3. Each unit of Wozac produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. Determine how large a Wozac plant the company should build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years.arrow_forwardLemingtons is trying to determine how many Jean Hudson dresses to order for the spring season. Demand for the dresses is assumed to follow a normal distribution with mean 400 and standard deviation 100. The contract between Jean Hudson and Lemingtons works as follows. At the beginning of the season, Lemingtons reserves x units of capacity. Lemingtons must take delivery for at least 0.8x dresses and can, if desired, take delivery on up to x dresses. Each dress sells for 160 and Hudson charges 50 per dress. If Lemingtons does not take delivery on all x dresses, it owes Hudson a 5 penalty for each unit of reserved capacity that is unused. For example, if Lemingtons orders 450 dresses and demand is for 400 dresses, Lemingtons will receive 400 dresses and owe Jean 400(50) + 50(5). How many units of capacity should Lemingtons reserve to maximize its expected profit?arrow_forward
- The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.arrow_forwardSuppose that GLC earns a 2000 profit each time a person buys a car. We want to determine how the expected profit earned from a customer depends on the quality of GLCs cars. We assume a typical customer will purchase 10 cars during her lifetime. She will purchase a car now (year 1) and then purchase a car every five yearsduring year 6, year 11, and so on. For simplicity, we assume that Hundo is GLCs only competitor. We also assume that if the consumer is satisfied with the car she purchases, she will buy her next car from the same company, but if she is not satisfied, she will buy her next car from the other company. Hundo produces cars that satisfy 80% of its customers. Currently, GLC produces cars that also satisfy 80% of its customers. Consider a customer whose first car is a GLC car. If profits are discounted at 10% annually, use simulation to estimate the value of this customer to GLC. Also estimate the value of a customer to GLC if it can raise its customer satisfaction rating to 85%, to 90%, or to 95%. You can interpret the satisfaction value as the probability that a customer will not switch companies.arrow_forwardThe annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drug manufactured and marketed by the NuFeel Company, is normally distributed with mean 50,000 and standard deviation 12,000. Assume that demand during each of the next 10 years is an independent random number from this distribution. NuFeel needs to determine how large a Prizdol plant to build to maximize its expected profit over the next 10 years. If the company builds a plant that can produce x units of Prizdol per year, it will cost 16 for each of these x units. NuFeel will produce only the amount demanded each year, and each unit of Prizdol produced will sell for 3.70. Each unit of Prizdol produced incurs a variable production cost of 0.20. It costs 0.40 per year to operate a unit of capacity. a. Among the capacity levels of 30,000, 35,000, 40,000, 45,000, 50,000, 55,000, and 60,000 units per year, which level maximizes expected profit? Use simulation to answer this question. b. Using the capacity from your answer to part a, NuFeel can be 95% certain that actual profit for the 10-year period will be between what two values?arrow_forward
- You now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a sports team. Each year there is a 60% chance that the value of the team will increase by 60% and a 40% chance that the value of the team will decrease by 60%. Estimate the mean and median value of your investment after 50 years. Explain the large difference between the estimated mean and median.arrow_forwardSeas Beginning sells clothing by mail order. An important question is when to strike a customer from the companys mailing list. At present, the company strikes a customer from its mailing list if a customer fails to order from six consecutive catalogs. The company wants to know whether striking a customer from its list after a customer fails to order from four consecutive catalogs results in a higher profit per customer. The following data are available: If a customer placed an order the last time she received a catalog, then there is a 20% chance she will order from the next catalog. If a customer last placed an order one catalog ago, there is a 16% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order two catalogs ago, there is a 12% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order three catalogs ago, there is an 8% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order four catalogs ago, there is a 4% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order five catalogs ago, there is a 2% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. It costs 2 to send a catalog, and the average profit per order is 30. Assume a customer has just placed an order. To maximize expected profit per customer, would Seas Beginning make more money canceling such a customer after six nonorders or four nonorders?arrow_forwardIn an oil company, its south refinery produces per day 300 barrels of high grade oil, 200 barrels of medium grade oil and 150 barrels of low grade oil. The cost of operation of this refinery amounts to P 600,000 per day. The north refinery of the company produces each day 100 barrels of high grade oil and 100 barrels of medium-grade oil and 150 of low-grade oil. Which has a total of P500,000 operational costs. If the company’s production requirement is at least 900 barrels for high-grade oil, 800 barrels for medium-grade oil, and 750 for low-grade oil, how many days, are required for each refinery to operate to obtain the minimum cost?arrow_forward
- a. Which of the following best describes the meaning of the equation P(25) = 200? 1. When 200 calculators are sold, the profit is $25. II. When 200 calculators are sold, the profit is increasing at a rate of $25 per additional calculator III. When 25 calculators are sold, the profit is $200. IV. When 25 calculators are sold, the profit is increasing at a rate of $200 per additional calculatoarrow_forwardLong-Life Insurance has developed a linear model that it uses to determine the amount of term life Insurance a family of four should have, based on the current age of the head of the household. The equation is: y=150 -0.10x where y= Insurance needed ($000) x = Current age of head of household b. Use the equation to determine the amount of term life Insurance to recommend for a family of four of the head of the household is 40 years old. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Amount of term life insurance thousandsarrow_forwardA company makes three types of candy and packages them in three assortments. Assortment I contains 4 cherry, 4 lemon, and 12 lime candies, and sells for a profit of $4.00. Assortment Il contains 12 cherry, 4 lemon, and 4 lime candies, and sells for a profit of $3.00. Assortment III contains 8 cherry, 8 lemon, and 8 lime candies, and sells for a profit of $5.00. They can make 5,200 cherry, 4,000 lemon, and 6,000 lime candies weekly. How many boxes of each type should the company produce each week in order to maximize its profit (assuming that all boxes produced can be sold)? What is the maximum profit? Select the correct choice below and fill in any answer boxes within your choice. OA. The maximum profit is $ when boxes of assortment 1. boxes of assortment II and assortment III are produced. OB. There is no way for the company to maximize its profit boxes ofarrow_forward
- Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,