Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Office Excel (with XLSTAT Education Edition Printed Access Card) (MindTap Course List)
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337115186
Author: David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A. Williams, Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Textbook Question
Chapter 20.3, Problem 8E
Consider a variation of the PDC decision tree shown in Figure 20.5. The company must first decide whether to undertake the market research study. If the market research study is conducted, the outcome will either be favourable (F) or unfavourable (U). Assume there are only two decision alternatives d1 and d2 and two states of nature s1 and s2. The payoff table showing profit is as follows:
a. Show the decision tree.
b. Use the following probabilities. What is the optimal decision strategy?
FIGURE 20.5 THE PDC DECISION TREE WITH BRANCH PROBABILITIES
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please substitute the value of a b c d in question
The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives and various levels of demand.
ALTERNATIVE
DEMAND
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH
Alternative 1
40
80
150
Alternative 2
80
120
130
Alternative 3
100
100
100
a. Which alternative would a pessimist choose?
b. Which alternative would an optimist choose?
c. Which alternative should be chosen using the Hurwicz decision criterion with α = 0.4?
What is the EMV of the best decision before he collects additional information?
Chapter 20 Solutions
Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Office Excel (with XLSTAT Education Edition Printed Access Card) (MindTap Course List)
Ch. 20.2 - Prob. 1ECh. 20.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 20.2 - 3. Hudson Corporation is considering three options...Ch. 20.2 - 4. Myrtle Air Express decided to offer direct...Ch. 20.2 - 5. The distance from Potsdam to larger markets and...Ch. 20.2 - 6. Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for...Ch. 20.2 - 7. The Lake Placid Town Council has decided to...Ch. 20.3 - Consider a variation of the PDC decision tree...Ch. 20.3 - 9. A real estate investor has the opportunity to...Ch. 20.3 - Dante Development Corporation is considering...
Ch. 20.3 - 11. Hale’s TV Productions is considering producing...Ch. 20.3 - 12. Martin’s Service Station is considering...Ch. 20.3 - 13. Lawson’s Department Store faces a buying...Ch. 20.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 20.4 - 15. In the following profit payoff table for a...Ch. 20.4 - 16. To save on expenses, Rona and Jerry agreed to...Ch. 20.4 - 17. The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide...Ch. 20 - Prob. 18SECh. 20 - 19. Warren Lloyd is interested in leasing a new...Ch. 20 - Hemmingway, Inc., is considering a $50 million...Ch. 20 - 21. Embassy Publishing Company received a...Ch. 20 - Case Problem Lawsuit Defense Strategy
John...
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