Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics
Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781260579611
Author: Douglas Lind; William Marchal; Samuel Wathen
Publisher: MCGRAW-HILL HIGHER EDUCATION
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Chapter 20, Problem 1E
To determine

Find the expected monetary value each of the alternatives.

Give the recommended decision.

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A five-year project requires an investment of -112 and has the following cash flows in years 1 through 5, respectively (all cash flows in dollars): 48, 88, 34, 15, and 52. Find the difference between the Cauchy upper bound and the Cauchy lower bound. Write your answer as a percentage with two decimals; e.g., 23.55% but do not write the % sign. (Acceptable error = 0.50%)
The tree diagram in the shown Figure  describes the uncertain cash flows for an engineering project. The analysis period is two years, and MARR = 15% per year. Based on this information, Solve, a. What are the E(PW), V(PW), and SD(PW) of the project? b. What is the probability that PW ≥ 0?
Rick Miller has just opened a new bakery in Frisco, Colorado, called Morning Fresh. In performing an economic analysis, Rick has determined that the marginal cost or loss for each dozen doughnuts sold is $4. The marginal profit is estimated to be $2.75 per dozen doughnuts. At this time, Rick is considering stocking 10, 15, 20, 25 or 30 dozen doughnuts. The probability of selling 10 dozen doughnuts is 10%. The chance of selling 15 Dozen doughnuts is 20%. There is a 30% chance that Morning Fresh will sell either 20 or 25 dozen doughnuts. Finally, there is a 10% chance of selling 30 dozen doughnuts, which is considered by Rick to be the most that Morning Fresh would be able to accommodate. What is your recommendation to Rick ?
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