Macroeconomics, Student Value Edition Plus MyLab Economics with Pearson eText -- Access Card Package (7th Edition)
7th Edition
ISBN: 9780134472669
Author: Blanchard
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 2, Problem 8QAP
a)
To determine
To explain:The reasons for
b)
To determine
To find:The year in which the unemployment rate will rise more when the output growth has been at 2%, when the output growth has been at -2%.
c)
To determine
Using the
d)
To determine
Which economy is better with one economy having the larger slope and other economy having the smaller slope by applying the principles of Phillips Curve.
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Phelps was suspicious of the tradeoff suggested by the Phillips curve. He thought that sensible, forward-looking people should not change their
behavior just because the prices on all the price tags in the economy increased at 4% per year instead of at 2% per year.
Phelps started his analysis by asking what determines the unemployment rate. One of the key points he recognized was that unemployment is the
inevitable consequence of an economy in which some firms go out of business each month and some workers quit their jobs each month. Once a
worker is out of a job, the individual will take some time searching for the next one.
Consider the following scenario.
Picture an economy with 100,000 workers in its labor force. The unemployment rate is simply the number of unemployed workers
divided by the number of workers in the labor force. At the beginning of January, the unemployment rate is 4.76%, so 4,760 people in
the labor force are unemployed.
Suppose that in January, 10% of the workers…
Phelps was suspicious of the tradeoff suggested by the Phillips curve. He thought that sensible, forward-looking people should not change their behavior just because the prices on all the price tags in the economy increased at 4% per year instead of at 2% per year.
Phelps started his analysis by asking what determines the unemployment rate. One of the key points he recognized was that unemployment is the inevitable consequence of an economy in which some firms go out of business each month and some workers quit their jobs each month. Once a worker is out of a job, the individual will take some time searching for the next one.
Consider the following scenario.
Picture an economy with 100,000 workers in its labor force. The unemployment rate is simply the number of unemployed workers divided by the number of workers in the labor force. At the beginning of January, the unemployment rate is 4.76%, so 4,760 people in the labor force are unemployed.
Suppose that in January, 10% of the…
Phelps was suspicious of the tradeoff suggested by the Phillips curve. He thought that sensible, forward-looking people should not change their behavior just because the prices on all the price tags in the economy increased at 4% per year instead of at 2% per year.
Phelps started his analysis by asking what determines the unemployment rate. One of the key points he recognized was that unemployment is the inevitable consequence of an economy in which some firms go out of business each month and some workers quit their jobs each month. Once a worker is out of a job, the individual will take some time searching for the next one.
Consider the following scenario.
Picture an economy with 100,000 workers in its labor force. The unemployment rate is simply the number of unemployed workers divided by the number of workers in the labor force. At the beginning of January, the unemployment rate is 4.76%, so 4,760 people in the labor force are unemployed.
Suppose that in January, 15% of…
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Macroeconomics, Student Value Edition Plus MyLab Economics with Pearson eText -- Access Card Package (7th Edition)
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- An economy has the following equation for the Phillips Curve: π = Eπ − 0.5(u − 6)People form expectations of inflation by taking a weighted average of the previous two years of inflation: Okun’s law for this economy is: Eπ = 0.7π−1 + 0.3π−2 (Y −Y−1)/(Y-1)=3.0−2.0(u−u−1) Th economy begins at its natural rate of unemployment with a stable inflation rate of 5 percent. 1. What is the natural rate of unemployment for this economy? 2. Graph the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment that this economy faces. Label the point where the economy begins as A. 3. A fall in aggregate demand leads to a recession, causing the unemployment rate to rise 4 percentage points above its natural rate. On your graph, label the point the economy experiences that year as point B.arrow_forwardA.W. Phillips drew a graph which became known as the Phillips curve. Which one of the following statements regarding this curve is correct? (a) The variables used in the Phillips curve are interest rate and rate of unemployment; (b) The empirical evidence supporting the original Phillips curve came from the United States; (c) The original Phillips curve illustrated an inverse relationship between the natural rate of unemployment and the expected inflation rate; (d) The original Phillips curve illustrated a trade-off between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate.arrow_forwardUsing the Phillips curve: imagine a country is having a higher unemployment rate than usual for a longperiod of time (higher than the natural rate). What should happen in the short term and in the longterm?arrow_forward
- Derive the original Phillips curve and answer the following questions:a) What effect does an increase in the expected price level have on the price level?b) What effect does an increase in the unemployment rate have on the price level?c) What effect does a decrease in business competition have on inflation?d) What is the effect of liberalizing foreign trade?e) What effect does the formation of trade unions have?arrow_forwardConsider an economy with a natural unemployment rate, u, of 4%. The expectations-augmented Phillips curve is: = - 0.5(u - ū) Assume that Okun's Law holds so that a 1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate maintained for one year reduces GDP by 2% of full employment output. Note: Okun's Law can be expressed as: :-2(u-i) How much cyclical unemployment is necessary to reduce inflation by 3 percentage points? Using Okun's Law, compute sacrifice ratio. (Enter an integer number, use only positive values)arrow_forwardYou observe the following short-run Phillips curve for the economy: T = 9.2 -0.26(u - 6.5%) + v. There are no supply shocks to the economy, and the actual unemployment rate is 6.5% (and will stay that way for the foreseeable future). What will expected inflation be next year? Write your answer as a percentage, and round at one (1) decimal. Do not write the percentage sign. If you need more information to answer the question, write "O".arrow_forward
- Which of the following about the Phillips curve is not correct? A) It shows the relation between GDP growth and unemployment. B) It has been redefined as a relation between the change in the rate of inflation and the unemployment rate. C) It was first explored by A. W. Phillips. D) The curve is downward sloping.arrow_forwardConsider an economy with a natural unemployment rate, u, of 7%. The expectations-augmented Phillips curve is: 1= - 0.5(u -ū) Assume that Okun's Law holds so that a 1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate maintained for one year reduces GDP by 2% of full employment output. Note: Okun's Law can be expressed as: *--2(u-ü) What is the long-run Phillips curve: OA. Inflation rate 8- OB. OC. O D. none of the answers is correct Inflation rate Inflation rate 6- 6- 6-arrow_forward1. Problems and Applications Q1 Consider the following four situations: A. Actual inflation is 6 percent, and expected inflation is 6 percent. B. Actual inflation is 4 percent, and expected inflation is 6 percent. C. Actual inflation is 4 percent, and expected inflation is 4 percent. D. Actual inflation is 6 percent, and expected inflation is 4 percent.arrow_forward
- The equation of the Phillips curve from 1970 to 1995 is: -17.4-1.2u₁. The natural rate of unemployment using this curve is 6.2%. (round your answer to one decimal place) The equation of the Phillips curve from 1996 to 2018 is: x=2.8% -0.16+ Which of the following explains why the natural rate of unemployment cannot immediately be calculated from the Philips curve? A. The expression only provides Ⓡ and a. B. The equation does not include a specific value for expected inflation. C. The expression only provides (m + z) and . D. None of the above. Using the line drawing tool, accurately graph the Phillips relation=2.8% -0.16 with inflation on the vertical axis and unemployment on the horizontal axis. Carefully follow the instructions above and only draw the required object. What is the natural rate of unemployment using the relation = 2.8% -0.16u, under the assumption that the value of x=2% The natural rate of unemployment fell to 5% between 1970-1995 and 1996-2018? (round your answer to…arrow_forwardUsing what you know about the Phillips curve, determine whether the following quantities will increase, decrease, or remain the same. a. Unemployment in the short run after an increase in inflation: (Click to select) v b. Unemployment in the long run after an increase in inflation: (Click to select) v c. Inflation in the short run after a decrease in unemployment: (Click to select) d. Inflation in the long run after a decrease in unemployment: (Click to select) |(Click to select) decrease increase remain the samearrow_forward1. An economy has the following equation for the Phillips Curve: π = Eπ − 0.5(u − 6)People form expectations of inflation by taking a weighted average of the previous two years of inflation: Okun’s law for this economy is: Eπ = 0.7π−1 + 0.3π−2 (Y −Y−1)/(Y-1)=3.0−2.0(u−u−1) Th economy begins at its natural rate of unemployment with a stable inflation rate of 5 percent. Graph the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment that this economy faces. Label the point where the economy begins as A. (Be sure to give numerical values for point A.) A fall in aggregate demand leads to a recession, causing the unemployment rate to rise 4 percentage points above its natural rate. On your graph in part (b), label the point the economy experiences that year as point B.(Be sure to give numerical values.) Unemployment remains at this high level for two years (the initial year described in part (c) and one more), after which it returns to its natural rate. Create a table showing…arrow_forward
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