Winning bid.

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Chapter 18, Problem 3MC

To determine

Winning bid.

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If some auction participants for crude-oil field leases have estimates that the oil in the ground is worth $1.2 million, $1.3 million, or $1.5 million with certainty; other auction participants have estimates that the same oil field lease is worth $1.1 million, $1.3 million, or $1.5 million with certainty; and a third group of auction participants have estimates that the same oil field lease is worth $1.1 million, $1.2 million, or $1.3 million, and all three forecasts contain the true common value, what is that value? How would you as auctioneer-seller design an auction to reduce strategic underbidding and realize this true value?

Say that you are bidding in a sealed-bid auction and that you really want the item being auctioned. Winning it would be worth $500 to you. Say you expect the next-highest bidder to bid $300.a. In a standard “highest-bid” auction, what bid would a rational person make? The rational choice is to bid $500 since that is what the item is worth to you. The rational choice is to bid a little bit more than $300 because that is the expected next-highest bid. The rational choice is to bid just under $500 so that you have a higher chance of winning the auction and would still have a net benefit. The rational choice is to bid over $500 to guarantee that you win the item. b. In a Vickrey auction, what bid would he make? The rational choice is to bid slightly more than $500. The rational choice is to bid $500. The rational choice is to bid slightly less than $500. The rational choice is to bid slightly more than $300.

At an oral auction for a lamp, half of all bidders have a value of $50 and half have a value of $70. What is the expected winning bid if there are four bidders?