Operations and Supply Chain Management 9th edition
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781119320975
Author: Roberta S. Russell, Bernard W. Taylor III
Publisher: WILEY
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Textbook Question
Chapter 13, Problem 8P
The Chemeo Company uses a highly toxic chemical in one of its manufacturing processes. It must have the product delivered by special cargo trucks designed for safe shipment of chemicals. As such, ordering (and delivery) costs are relatively high, at $3600 per order. The chemical product is packaged in 1-gallon plastic containers. The cost of holding the chemical in storage is $50 per gallon per year. The annual demand for the chemical, which is constant over time, is 7000 gallons per year. The lead time from time of order placement until receipt is 10 days. The company operates 310 working days per year. Compute the optimal order quantity, total minimum inventory cost, and the reorder point.
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Scenario
You have been given a task to create a demand forecast for the second year of sales of a premium outdoor grill.
Accurate forecasts are important for many reasons, including for the company to ensure they have the materials
they need to create the products required in a certain period of time. Your objective is to minimize the forecast
error, which will be measured using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a goal of being below 25%.
You have historical monthly sales data for the past year and access to software that provides forecasts based on
five different forecasting techniques (Naïve, 3-Month Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing for .2, Exponential
Smooth for .5, and Seasonal) to help determine the best forecast for that particular month. Based on the given
data, you will identify trends and patterns to create a more accurate forecast.
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next…
Approach
Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next
month.
Remember to select the forecasting technique that produces the forecast error nearest to zero. For example:
a. Naïve Forecast is 230 and the Forecast Error is -15.
b. 3-Month Moving Forecast is 290 and the Forecast Error is -75.
c. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .2 is 308 and the Forecast Error is -93.
d. Exponential Smoothing Forecast for .5 is 279 and the Forecast Error is -64.
e. Seasonal Forecast is 297 and the Forecast Error is -82.
The forecast for the next month would be 230 as the Naïve Forecast had the Forecast Error closest to zero with a
-15. This forecasting technique was the best performing technique for that month. You do not need to do any
external analysis-the forecast error for each strategy is already calculated for you in the tables below.
Naïve
Month Period
Actual
Demand
Naïve Forecast
Error
3-
Month
Moving
Forecast
3-
Month
Moving…
Chapter 13 Solutions
Operations and Supply Chain Management 9th edition
Ch. 13.S - Prob. 1QCh. 13.S - How are steady-state results achieved in a...Ch. 13.S - Prob. 3QCh. 13 - Describe the difference between independent and...Ch. 13 - Distinguish between a fixed-order-quantity system...Ch. 13 - Discuss customer service level for an inventory...Ch. 13 - Explain the ABC inventory classification system...Ch. 13 - Identify the two basic decisions addressed by...Ch. 13 - Describe the major cost categories used in...Ch. 13 - Explain how the order quantity is determined using...
Ch. 13 - What are the assumptions of the basic EOQ model,...Ch. 13 - How are the reorder point and lead lime related in...Ch. 13 - Describe how the production quantity model differs...Ch. 13 - How must the application of the basic EOQ model be...Ch. 13 - Why do the basic EOQ model variations not include...Ch. 13 - In the production quantity EOQ model, what would...Ch. 13 - Explain in general terms how a safety stock level...Ch. 13 - Explain the difference between a single-stage...Ch. 13 - AV City stocks and sells a particular brand of...Ch. 13 - AV City (Problem 13.1) assumed with certainty that...Ch. 13 - A firm is faced with the attractive situation in...Ch. 13 - The Sofaworld Company purchases upholstery...Ch. 13 - The Wallace Stationery Company purchases paper...Ch. 13 - The Ambrosia Bakery makes calms for freezing and...Ch. 13 - The EastCoasters Bicycle Shop operates 364 days a...Ch. 13 - The Chemeo Company uses a highly toxic chemical in...Ch. 13 - The Food Place Supermarket stocks Munehkin...Ch. 13 - Kroft Foods makes cheese to supply to stores in...Ch. 13 - The Shotz Brewery produces an ale that it stores...Ch. 13 - Tradewinds Imports is an importer of ceramics from...Ch. 13 - JAL Trading is a Hong Kong manufacturer of...Ch. 13 - In Problem 12.1 in Chapter 12, the Hartley-Davis...Ch. 13 - In Problem 12-2 in Chapter 12, Carpel City orders...Ch. 13 - In Problem 12.47 in Chapter 12, Delaplane...Ch. 13 - The Paramount Paper company produces paper from...Ch. 13 - Kellys Tavern serves Shamrock draft beer to its...Ch. 13 - The daily demand for Ironcoat paint at the Top...Ch. 13 - IM Systems assembles microcomputers from genetic...Ch. 13 - IM Systems assembles microcomputers from generic...Ch. 13 - KVS Pharmacy fills prescriptions fen a popular...Ch. 13 - Food Place Market stocks frozen pizzas in a...Ch. 13 - The Mediterranean Restaurant stocks a red Chilean...Ch. 13 - The Aztec Company stock a variety of parts and...Ch. 13 - The EastCoasters Bicycle Shop stocks bikes;...Ch. 13 - Tara McCoy is the office administrator for the...Ch. 13 - The concession stand at the Shelby High School...Ch. 13 - The Instant Paper Clip Office Supply Company...Ch. 13 - The Texas Gladiators Apparel Store The Texas...Ch. 13 - Pharr Foods Company Pharr Foods Company produces a...
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