Investments
Investments
11th Edition
ISBN: 9781259277177
Author: Zvi Bodie Professor, Alex Kane, Alan J. Marcus Professor
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 11, Problem 3CP
Summary Introduction

To determine:

Which statement provides evidence which is not supported by efficient market theory semi strong form

Introduction:

EMH which is known as efficient market hypothesis stand to be the investment theory wherein price of a share represent the entire information, however consistent alpha generation stands to be impossible. Hypothetically, the risk adjusted excess returns cannot be produced by either fundamental or technical analysis .Stock generally trade at fair value, over the stock exchange in accordance with efficient market hypothesis which makes it difficult for investors to sell stock at inflated prices or to purchase stocks at undervalued prices.

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7. Which of the following would provide evidence against the semi-strong form of the efficient market theory? About 50% of pension funds outperforms the market in any year. All investors have learned to exploit signals about future performance. Trend analysis is worthless in determining stock prices. Low P/E stocks tend to have positive abnormal returns over the long run.
Which of the following hypothetical phenomena would be either consistent with or a violation of the efficient market hypothesis? a. Nearly half of all professionally managed mutual funds are able to outperform the S&P 500 in a typical year. Consistent Inconsistent b. Money managers who outperform the market (on a risk-adjusted basis) in one year are likely to outperform the market in the following year. Consistent Inconsistent c. Stock prices tend to be predictably more volatile in January than in other months. Consistent Inconsistent d. Stock prices of companies that announce increased earnings in January tend to outperform the market in February. Consistent Inconsistent
Suppose that, after conducting an analysis of past stock prices, you come up with the following observations. Which would appear to contradict the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis? Explain.a. The average rate of return is significantly greater than zero.b. The correlation between the return during a given week and the return during the following week is zero.c. One could have made superior returns by buying stock after a 10% rise in price and selling after a 10% fall.d. One could have made higher-than-average capital gains by holding stocks with low dividend yields.
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