Find the first three powers of each transition matrix in Exercises 17-22 (for example. A, A2, and A3 in Exercise 17). For each transition matrix, find the probability that state 1 changes to state 2 after three repetitions of the experiment.
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Finite Mathematics (11th Edition)
- Consumer Preference In a population of 100,000 consumers, there are 20,000 users of Brand A, 30,000 users of Brand B, and 50,000 who use neither brand. During any month, a Brand A user has a 20 probability of switching to Brand B and a 5 of not using either brand. A Brand B user has a 15 probability of switching to Brand A and a 10 probability of not using either brand. A nonuser has a 10 probability of purchasing Brand A and a 15 probability of purchasing Brand B. How many people will be in each group a in 1 month, b in 2 months, and c in 18 months?arrow_forwardThe following transition matrix represented customers upgrading their cell phones. Suppose that each customer upgrades to a new cell phone every two years. Use various powers of the transition matrix to find the probability that a customer who currently owns Phone A will select Phone A for the upgrades given in parts (a) through (c). Then use your results to answer part (d). New Phone A A Current Phone B 0.6 0.4 0.25 0.75 (a) Find the probability that a customer who currently owns Phone A selects Phone with the first upgrade. (Type an integer or decimal rounded to four decimal places as needed.)arrow_forwardRedo exercise 23 in section 8.1 of your textbook, about the student who eats in a Chinese, Greek, or Italian restaurant every Sunday night, using the following data:This student never eats the same kind of food for 2 consecutive weeks. If she eats a Chinese restaurant one week, then she is five times as likely to have Greek as Italian food the next week. If she eats a Greek restaurant one week, then she is three times as likely to have Chinese as Italian food the next week. If she eats a Italian restaurant one week, then she is equally likely to have Chinese as Greek food the next week.Assume that state 1 is Chinese and that state 2 is Greek, and state 3 is Italian.Find the transition matrix for this Markov process.arrow_forward
- Is there a unique way of filling in the missing probabilities in the transition diagram shown to the right? If so, complete the transition diagram and write the corresponding transition matrix. If not, explain why. 0.3 OA. Yes. The probability of transition from A to A is probability of transition from C to B is. (Type integers or decimals.) 0.4 0.5 0.7 B 0,2 0.1 Is there a unique way of filling in the missing probabilities in the transition diagram? If so, identify the missing probabilities. If not, explain why. Select the correct choice below and, if necessary, fill in the answer boxes to complete your choice. the probability of transition from B to C is and the OB. No. It is possible to find the probability of transition from A to A, but the probability of transition from B to C is needed to find the probability of transition from C to B (and vice versa). OC. No. At least one of the missing probabilities is needed to find the other two. OD. No. It is possible to find the probability…arrow_forwardIs there a unique way of filling in the missing probabilities in the transition diagram shown to the right? If so, complete the transition diagram and write the corresponding transition matrix. If not, explain why. ? O A. Yes. The probability of transition from A to A is transition from C to B is 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 B с 0.1 0.1 Is there a unique way of filling in the missing probabilities in the transition diagram? If so, identify the missing probabilities. If not, explain why. Select the correct choice below and, if necessary, fill in the answer boxes to complete your choice. the probability of transition from B to C is , and the probability ofarrow_forwardLuca and Si play a snooker game, which consists of several rounds ('frames'). They are quite evenly matched: for the first frame, both have an equal probability of winning. However, Si's performance is influenced by the evolution of the game: if he looses a frame, his chances for winning the next one decrease to 48%; if he wins a frame, his chances for winning the next one increase to 51%. Suppose Luca and Si play 3 frames. a. What is the probability that all 3 frames are won by the same player? b. What is the probability that Luca wins the game, meaning he wins at least 2 of the 3 frames? € C. What is the probability that Luca wins the game if Si wins the first frame? . What is the expected number of games won by Luca?arrow_forward
- Is there a unique way of filling in the missing probabilities in the transition diagram shown to the right? If so, complete the transition diagram and write the corresponding transition matrix. If not, explain why.arrow_forwardConsider the following weather forecast data for one month. Use the following states: (state 0: R- rainy, state 1: S-sunny). Week# Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat R S R S R 2 R S R R 3. R R 4. S R R R 1. Find the transition probability matrix (TPM). 2. Draw the probability transition diagram. R R SRRarrow_forwardConsider the following system: → 0.71 → 0.71 → Determine the probability that the system will operate under each of these conditions: Backups with .71 probability and a switch that is 96 percent reliable. (Do not round your intermediate calculations. Round your final answer to 4 decimal places.) Probabilityarrow_forward
- The three-year recidivism rate of parolees in a certain state is about 20%; that is, 20% of parolees end up back in prison within three years. Assume that whether one parolee returns to prison is independent of whether any of the others return. Complete parts a and b below. Find the probability that exactly 6 out of 20 parolees will end up back in prison within three years. The probability that exactly 6 out of 20 parolees will end up back in prison is nothing.arrow_forwardConsider an M/M/1 queueing system. Find the probability of finding at least n customers in the system.arrow_forward5D There are three kinds of vegetation in an ecosystem: grass (G), shrubs (S), and trees (T) . Every year, 25% of grassland plots are converted to shrubs, 20% of shrub plots are converted to trees, 8% of trees are converted to shrubs, and 1% of trees are converted to grass; the other transition probabilities are 0. Calculate the probability ofwa plot of land have the following succession of vegetation from year to year: GSGG. 5E The NACHR ion channel can be in one of three states: resting (R), closed with Ach bound (C), and open (O) with transition probabilities (per one microsecond): 0.04 (from to C), 0.07 (from C to R), 0.12 (from C to O) and 0.02 (from O to C); the other transition probabilities are 0. Calculate the probability of the following string of states: OCCR.arrow_forward
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