ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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Chapter 10, Problem 10P
To determine

To construct: Probability distribution for sales and unit profit.

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A new product’s sales and profits are uncertain. The marketing department has predicted that sales might be as high as 9000 units per year with a probability of 15%. The most likely value is 6000 units annually. The pessimistic value is estimated to be 3500 units annually with a probability of 25%. Manufacturing and marketing together have estimated the most likely unit profit to be $33. The pessimistic value of $26 has a probability of 0.25, and the optimistic value of $37 has a probability of 0.3. Construct the probability distributions for sales and unit profits.
Annual savings due to an energy efficiency project have a most likely value of $30,000.The high estimate of $40,000 has a probability of 0.2, and the low estimate of $20,000has a probability of 0.30. What is the expected value for the annual savings?
A company that manufactures and sells​ T-shirts for sporting​ events, is providing shirts for an upcoming tournament. Each shirt will cost ​$7 to produce and will be sold for $13. Any unsold shirts at the end of the tournament can be sold for $5 apiece in the near future. The company assumes the demand for the shirts will be 1,500​,3,000​,4,500​, or 6,000. The company also estimates that the probabilities of each of these sales levels occurring will be 20​%, 25​%,25​%, and 30​%, respectively. Determine the expected monetary value of the project if the company chooses to print 4,500 shirts for the tournament. The expected monetary value is---- ​(Type a whole​ number.)
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