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Your Medical Science degree goes well and eventually you become a General Practitioner. Based on all the information currently available, you estimate that the patient in your office has a one in four chance of having a particular serious disease. You order a diagnostic test with sensitivity of 95% and specificity of 90%.

The result comes back positive. Based on all the information now available, the chance your patient really has the disease is closest to:

Question 5

Select one:

a.

55%

b.

65%

c.

85%

d.

75%

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