You are a marketing manager for a food products company, considering the introduction of a new brand of organic salad dressings. You need to develop a marketing plan for the salad dressings in which you must decide whether you will have a gradual introduction of the salad dressings (with only a few different salad dressings introduced to the market) or a concentrated introduction of the salad dressings (in which a full line of salad dressings will be introduced to the market). You estimate that if there is a low demand for the salad dressings, your first year’s profit will be $1 million for a gradual introduction and million (a loss of $5 million) for a concentrated introduction. If there is high demand, you estimate that your first year’s profit will be $4 million for a gradual introduction and $10 million for a concentrated introduction. The payoff table for the organic salad dressings marketing is given as follows: Low Demand High Demand Gradual 1 4 Concentrated -5 10 a. Given the information in part b), what is the EVPI? b. Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine the range of demand probabilities for which each of the decision alternatives has the largest expected value.
You are a marketing manager for a food products company, considering the introduction of a new brand of organic salad dressings. You need to develop a marketing plan for the salad dressings in which you must decide whether you will have a gradual introduction of the salad dressings (with only a few different salad dressings introduced to the market) or a concentrated introduction of the salad dressings (in which a full line of salad dressings will be introduced to the market). You estimate that if there is a low demand for the salad dressings, your first year’s profit will be $1 million for a gradual introduction and million (a loss of $5 million) for a concentrated introduction. If there is high demand, you estimate that your first year’s profit will be $4 million for a gradual introduction and $10 million for a concentrated introduction. The payoff table for the organic salad dressings marketing is given as follows:
|
|
Low Demand |
High Demand |
|
Gradual |
1 |
4 |
|
Concentrated |
-5 |
10 |
a. Given the information in part b), what is the EVPI?
b. Use graphical sensitivity analysis to determine the range of demand probabilities for which each of the decision alternatives has the largest expected value.
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