ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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You are a coin trader. You have $1,000,000, and today one coin costs $2000. Tomorrow the coin will either cost $1000 or $4000, each with equal probability. Assume the prices are constant all day and change instantly at midnight. For each of the following, give a strategy and why it’s correct:
(a) If you want to maximize the expected amount of money you have tomorrow, what should you do?
(b) If you want to maximize the expected number of coins you have tomorrow, what should you do?
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- Any risk-averse individual would always (Select all that applies) a) take a 30% chance at $100 rather than a sure $20. b) take a sure $20 rather than a 30% chance at $100. c) take a sure $2 rather than a 50% chance at $5 and a 50% chance at losing $1. d) take a 50% chance at $5 and a 50% chance at losing $1 rather than a sure $1.arrow_forward**Practice** In order to alleviate their risks, they are considering a risk-sharing agreement. Carol would buy one CC and David would buy one DD. Six months from now, they would sell their coins, add up the total amount of money, and split it equally between them. Thus, if only one of the coins is successful, they would both still have some positive amount of money at the end. Assume that they can verify whether the other really made the investment. They know whether the investment is successful, since the price of the coin is public information, and they trust that the other will pay them as promised. Which of the following statements is accurate?A. They will not make that risk-sharing agreement.B. Carol is willing to take the risk-sharing agreement, but David is not.C. They may be willing to make that risk-sharing agreement, but it depends on information not given in the question.D. They will surely make the risk-sharing agreement.E. None of the statements above is correct.arrow_forwardSuppose that there is a 45 percent change that George's coffee shop will make $10000 in profits in January and a 45 percent chance it will make 0 profits and a 10 percent chance that it will make -$1000 in profits (i.e., it will lose $1000). Calculate the coffee shop's expected profitsarrow_forward
- A wheel of fortune in a gambling casino has 54 different slots in which the wheel pointer can stop. Four of the 54 slots contain the number 9. For a 1 dollar bet on hitting a 9, if he or she succeeds, the gambler wins 10 dollars plus the return of the 1 dollar bet. What is the expected value of this gambling game? What is the meaning of the expected value result?arrow_forwardCan someone please help? Thank you.arrow_forwardTyler buys a futures contract from Alex that gives him the right to buy 1,000 barrels of oil at $125 per barrel in 48 months. What happens in 48 months if the actual price per barrel of oil is $100? A.) Tyler must pay Alex $25,000. B.) Tyler makes a profit of $25 per barrel, or $25,000. C.) The contract becomes void because the price turned out lower than expected. D.) Alex must give Tyler $10,000.arrow_forward
- If a risk-neutral individual owns a home worth $200,000 and there is a three percent chance the home will be destroyed by fire in the next year, then we know 15. that: a) He is willing to pay much more than $6,000 for full cover. b) He is willing to pay much less than $6,000 for full cover. c) He is willing to pay at most $6,000 for full cover. d) None of the above are correct. e) All of the above are correct.arrow_forwardPriyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index . There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain. b) What would be the highest price (premium) that she would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that fully insures her against the flooding damage?arrow_forward
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