What is the trend projection for time period 18 ?
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The following linear trend expression was estimated using a time series with 17 time periods. Tt = 129.2 + 3.8t. What is the trend projection for time period 18 ?
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- llustrate the concepts of ARIMA models and exponential smoothing on forecasting future values of a time series. Compare their similarities and differences. (max. 400 words)This uses minitab. Make a regression that will enable you to predict BAC from the number of beers consumed. What is the predicted BAC for a person who has consumed 7 beers? Give your answer to 3 decimal places.The figure below is a time-series graph showing overall death rates (from all causes) in a country for 1900 to 2015. The spike in 1919 was due to a worldwide epidemic of influenza. Write a few sentences summarizing the overall trend, describing how much the death rate changed over this period of time and putting the 1919 spike into context in terms of its impact on the population. Death Rate per 1000 Population 20 15 10 5 L ul lu luulu l luulul 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Year Choose the correct answer below. O A. The death rates have increased by about 30% since the 1920s. The death rate during the influenza epidemic was about half of its current rate. O B. The death rates have decreased by about 50% since the 1920s. The death rate during the influenza epidemic was over four times its current rate. C. The death rates have decreased by about 50% since the 1920s. The death rate during the influenza epidemic was about half of its current rate. O D.…
- Based on the scatterplot and residual plot, what type of model would be appropriate for summarizing the relationship between days and number of views? A popular television show recently released a video preview for the upcoming season on its website. As fans of the show discover the video, the number of views of the preview video has grown each day during the last 2 weeks. The number of days since the release of the video and the natural log of the number of video views is shown in the scatterplot. O An exponential model is appropriate because the residual plot does not show a clear pattern. O A linear model is appropriate because the scatterplot shows a strong, positive linear relationship. In(Views) vs. Days O A power model is appropriate because the scatterplot of days and natural log of views is strong and linear. 10 9.5 An exponential model is appropriate because the relationship between days and the natural log of views is linear, and the residual plot does not show a clear…Please complete parts b and cDuring a professor's office hours, students arrive, on average, every ten minutes. Assume that the distribution of the time between arrivals follows an exponential distribution. Suppose that a student has just left. Suppose that a student has just left. Only 25% of the time will the professor have to wait approximately how long or longer before the next student shows up?
- Find r2 if the correlation coefficient is 0.92. Only round your final answer to 2 decimal places.Generally, what is plotted on the x-axis and y-axis on a timeplot?A patient is classified as having gestational diabetes if their average glucose level is above 140 milligrams per deciliter (mg/dl) one hour after a sugary drink is ingested. Rebecca's doctor is concerned that she may suffer from gestational diabetes. There is variation both in the actual glucose level and in the blood test that measures the level. Rebecca's measured glucose level one hour after ingesting the sugary drink varies according to the Normal distribution with μ=140+5 mg/dl and σ=5+1 mg/dl. Using the Central Limit Theorem, determine the probability of Rebecca being diagnosed with gestational diabetes if her glucose level is measured: Once? n=5+2 times n=5+4 times Comment on the relationship between the probabilities observed in (a), (b), and (c). Explain, using concepts from lecture why this occurs and what it means in context.
- A light fixture contains five lightbulbs. The lifetime of each bulb is exponentially distributed with mean 199.0 hours. Whenever a bulb burns out, it is replaced. Let T be the time of the first bulb replacement. Let X1, i = 1, . . . , 5, be the lifetimes of the five bulbs. Assume the lifetimes of the bulbs are independent. 1. Find P( X1 > 100). (Round the final answer to four decimal places.) 2. Find P( X1 > 100 and X2 > 100 and • • • and X5 > 100). (Round the final answer to four decimal places.) 3. Find P(T ≤ 100). (Round the final answer to four decimal places.) 4. Let t be any positive number. Find P(T ≤ t), which is the cumulative distribution function of T. 5. Find the mean of T. (Round the final answer to two decimal places.)A popular television show recently released a video previewing the upcoming season on his website as fans of the show discovered the video the number of views of the preview video has grown each day during the last two weeks the number of days in the release of the video and the natural log of the number of video views as shown in the scatterplot. based on the scatterplot and residual plot, what type of model would be appropriate for summarizing the relationship between days and numbers of views? an exponential model is appropriate because the Residual plot does not show a clear pattern A linear model is appropriate because of scatterplot shows a strong positive linear relationship A power model is appropriate because the scatterplot of days a natural log of use is strong and linear an exponential model is appropriate because the relationship between the days in the natural log of views in linear and the residual plot does not show a clear patternA regression was run to determine if there is a relationship between hours of TV watched per day (x) and the number of sit-ups a person can do (y). The results were: y = a+bx b = -0.89 a = 23.49 r² = 0.6519 r = -0.8074 a. If a person watches 7 hours of television a day, predict how many sit-ups he can do. b. If a person can do 4 sit ups, predict how many hours of television a day they watch. hours