what is the probability of disaster in august if the results of july was correct ?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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what is the probability of disaster in august if the results of july was correct ?

Year
April 2016
Mei 2016
Juni 2016
Floods
4/32=0.125
8/20=0.4
8/21=0.381
[0.125 0.406 0.4691
P = 0.400 0.250 0.350
¹0.381 0.429 0.190J
π(1) = n(0). P
[0.125 0.406 0.469]
= [100] 0.400 0.250 0.350
L0.381 0.429 0.190J
= [0.125 0.406 0.469]
Land Slides
13/32=0.406
5/20=0.25
9/21=0.429
Tornado
15/32=0.469
7/20=0.35
4/21=0.19
So, the probability of flooding in July 2016 is 12.5%, the probability of landslides is 40.6%, and the
probability of a tornado occurring is 46.9%.
What is the probability of disasters in august based on the results of july 2016 ?
Transcribed Image Text:Year April 2016 Mei 2016 Juni 2016 Floods 4/32=0.125 8/20=0.4 8/21=0.381 [0.125 0.406 0.4691 P = 0.400 0.250 0.350 ¹0.381 0.429 0.190J π(1) = n(0). P [0.125 0.406 0.469] = [100] 0.400 0.250 0.350 L0.381 0.429 0.190J = [0.125 0.406 0.469] Land Slides 13/32=0.406 5/20=0.25 9/21=0.429 Tornado 15/32=0.469 7/20=0.35 4/21=0.19 So, the probability of flooding in July 2016 is 12.5%, the probability of landslides is 40.6%, and the probability of a tornado occurring is 46.9%. What is the probability of disasters in august based on the results of july 2016 ?
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