We try to predict the unemployment (unem) with an AR(1) model and VAR(1) (unemployment and inflation). Figure 1 shows the predication results based on AR(1) and Figure 2 shows that for VAR(1). The RMSE and MAE for AR(1) are 0.48 and 0.54, while those for VAR(1) are 0.58 and 0.52. Which one of the following statements is correct: Select one: O a. VAR(1) performs better than AR(1), because it contains additional information of inflation. O b. AR(1) performs better than VAR(1) because it has smaller RMSE O c. VAR(1) performs better than AR(1) because it has smaller MAE O d. We cannot tell which one performs better

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== Assume that Co = 40, G = 220, T = 120, I = 150, X = 44, Z = M = 54, b = mpc = .75 and t =.25, the actual unemployment rate = 5.7%, and the natural unemployment rate is 5.1%. A one dollar increase in G will cause Y to increase by dollars. $2.439 $2.392 $2.305 $2.286 $2.253

The equation of the Phillips curve from 1970 to 1995 is: -17.4-1.2u₁. The natural rate of unemployment using this curve is 6.2%. (round your answer to one decimal place) The equation of the Phillips curve from 1996 to 2018 is: x=2.8% -0.16+ Which of the following explains why the natural rate of unemployment cannot immediately be calculated from the Philips curve? A. The expression only provides Ⓡ and a. B. The equation does not include a specific value for expected inflation. C. The expression only provides (m + z) and . D. None of the above. Using the line drawing tool, accurately graph the Phillips relation=2.8% -0.16 with inflation on the vertical axis and unemployment on the horizontal axis. Carefully follow the instructions above and only draw the required object. What is the natural rate of unemployment using the relation = 2.8% -0.16u, under the assumption that the value of x=2% The natural rate of unemployment fell to 5% between 1970-1995 and 1996-2018? (round your answer to…

In response to the covid-19 pandemic, many governments responded by an economic stimulus package to mitigate the negative impact of the pandemic on affected families. Changes in economic policies will frequently have an impact on the unemployment rate. Explain whether each of the policy changes described is likely to: (1) affect frictional or structural unemployment and (2) increase or decrease the measured unemployment rate.a) An increase in the number of weeks of employment insurance that unemployed workerscan receive. b) An increase in the minimum wage rate  a) The government introduced new job-training programs to help people who lost their jobs in the affected sectors switch to other sectors.

The Phillips curve in Lowland takes the form of π = 0.04 – 0.5 (u – 0.05), where π is the actual inflation rate and u is the unemployment rate. The Phillips curve in Highland takes the form of π = 0.08 – 0.5 (u – 0.05). The current unemployment rate in both countries is 9 percent (0.09). Explain the similarities in the Phillips curves in Highland and in Lowland.

Use an appropriate graphical framework to illustrate the effects of the following supply-side factors on unemployment: (i) (ii) An increase in marginal tax rates A fall in unemployment benefit, decreasing the replacement rate.

Consider an economy with a natural unemployment rate, u, of 7%. The expectations-augmented Phillips curve is: 1= - 0.5(u -ū) Assume that Okun's Law holds so that a 1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate maintained for one year reduces GDP by 2% of full employment output. Note: Okun's Law can be expressed as: *--2(u-ü) What is the long-run Phillips curve: OA. Inflation rate 8- OB. OC. O D. none of the answers is correct Inflation rate Inflation rate 6- 6- 6-

Phelps was suspicious of the tradeoff suggested by the Phillips curve. He thought that sensible, forward-looking people should not change their behavior just because the prices on all the price tags in the economy increased at 4% per year instead of at 2% per year. Phelps started his analysis by asking what determines the unemployment rate. One of the key points he recognized was that unemployment is the inevitable consequence of an economy in which some firms go out of business each month and some workers quit their jobs each month. Once a worker is out of a job, the individual will take some time searching for the next one. Consider the following scenario. Picture an economy with 100,000 workers in its labor force. The unemployment rate is simply the number of unemployed workers divided by the number of workers in the labor force. At the beginning of January, the unemployment rate is 4.76%, so 4,760 people in the labor force are unemployed. Suppose that in January, 10% of the workers…

Japan is experiencing Inflation due to excess demand.  Draw a correctly labled AS/AD model representing where the economy is relative to the Natural Rate of Unemployment