ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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- (a) What events of the 1970s and 1980s made economists believe that the shortrun relationship between inflation and unemployment was unstable (not fixed and permanent)? (b) Explain, using a diagram(s) and the concept of stagflation, the relationship between shifts in the SRAS curve and the position of the short-run Phillips curve.arrow_forwardIf investment as a fraction of GDP rose substantially and then stayed at a high level, what would be the effect on aggregate supply over time? It will shift both the SRAS and LRAS right. It will shift the SRAS right, but not the LRAS. It will shift the LRAS to the left, but not the SRAS. It will shift both the SRAS and the LRAS left.arrow_forwardAs the Federal Reserve sharply raises rates in the face if substantial inflationary pressures, economists are trying to gauge the extent to which the U.S. labor market is slowing. First, how might you try to measure labor market slack? Second, across the business cycle, describe how the gap between whatever is true unemployment, and a notion of “full” employment generally relates to inflationary pressures. Finally, relate this gap to the economy’s overall ‘output gap’ (actual GDP vs. potential GDP).arrow_forward
- Q7 Answer part a onlyarrow_forwardb) There is a change in expectations and firms in the economy now expect the price level to be lower in the future. In the context of the AS-AD model, and with the aid of a diagram, explain the short run effects this has on the price level output, and unemployment in the economy.arrow_forwardWe try to predict the unemployment (unem) with an AR(1) model and VAR(1) (unemployment and inflation). Figure 1 shows the predication results based on AR(1) and the Figure 2 shows that for VAR(1). The RMSE and MAE for AR(1) are 0.48 and 0.54, while those for VAR(1) are 0.58 and 0.52. Which one of the following statements is correct: 10 civilian unemployment rate, % амми um 1950 O b. O c. O d. 1960 1950 num True unemployment rate before 1996 Confidence interval True unemployment rate after 1996 1970 1980 1948 through 2003 1960 1970 1980 1948 through 2003 True unemployment rate before 1996- Confidence interval True unemployment rate after 1996 1990 AR(1) performs better than VAR(1) because it has smaller RMSE VAR(1) performs better than AR(1) because it has smaller MAE We cannot tell which one performs better Forecast based on AR(1) Confidence interval 1990 2000 2000 We try to predict the unemployment (unem) with an AR(1) model and VAR(1) (unemployment and inflation). Figure 1 shows the…arrow_forward
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