Topic: “Perspectives on Application of Decision Analysis to Maximize Yield on Financial Markets and in the Airline Industries” QUESTION Briefly suggest how the DSS model should be updated to generate new seat allocations and revised bid price information. Please include such decision factors as overbooking level, sale forecast and estimates for the recapture probabilities, full and discount fare information, and traffic management, etc

Topic: “Perspectives on Application of Decision Analysis to Maximize Yield on Financial Markets and in the Airline Industries” QUESTION Briefly suggest how the DSS model should be updated to generate new seat allocations and revised bid price information. Please include such decision factors as overbooking level, sale forecast and estimates for the recapture probabilities, full and discount fare information, and traffic management, etc

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter7: Nonlinear Optimization Models

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 56P

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Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?
Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?
Explain the purpose of decision table and method of creating a decision table ?
Theme Park (5S-7A) The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to Renew the lease for another 10 years or to Relocate near the site of a proposed new motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below. Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.20 probability that the motel's application will be approved. Options Renew Relocate Alternative Renew Relocate Motel Approved a-1. If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate"! $ 400,000 2,000,000 O Renew O Relocate Motel Rejected $4,000,000 100,000 Expected Value a-2. Which alternative should it choose? b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning…
A method of estimating future demand usedfor decision making in order to set reasonable targets and control orlimit uncertainties or risks.
Describe how decision analysis is similar to and different from simulation analysis and scenario analysis (at least 75 words)
Betty, the chief of nursing executive, need to make a decision about buying 340 new hospital beds for patient rooms. After she interviewed nurse managers at the units where the beds were going to be placed, Betty compiled her findings and decided to contact a well-known equipment company to obtain prices and a bid. No bids from other companies were obtained. The equipment company’s executive salesperson, Jim, discussed options at length with her and invited her and her significant other to an upcoming all-expense-paid, lavish junket at a five-star hotel in Hawaii to see demonstrations of the beds and experience a comprehensive sales program. Betty thought, “We badly need some relaxations and stress relief. Hawaii would be so much fun. Would it be wrong for us to go? If you were Betty, what would you do? Justify your answer with ethical framework: theory, approach or principle. Discuss the ethical principles at stake. What breaches are possible? Do you consider this situation a conflict…
Problem 3-31 (Algo) The following are sales revenues for a large utility company for years 1 through 11. Forecast revenue for years 12 through 15. Because we are forecasting four years into the future, you will need to use linear regression as your forecasting method. (Enter your answers In mlons.) YEAR REVENJE (MILLIONS) $4,875.0 5,865.7 5,523.4 5,729.9 5,500.9 5,190.0 $5,097.2 5,112.3 5,553.8 5,734.4 5,863.5 1 2 10 11 Period Forecast 12 13 14 15
Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the purpose of establishing a new vineyard. Management is considering two varieties of white grapes for the new vineyard: Chardonnay and Riesling. The Chardonnay grapes would be used to produce a dry Chardonnay wine, and the Riesling grapes would be used to produce a semidry Riesling wine. It takes approximately four years from the time of planting before new grapes can be harvested. This length of time creates a great deal of uncertainty concerning future demand and makes the decision concerning the type of grapes to plant difficult. Three possibilities are being considered: Chardonnay grapes only; Riesling grapes only; and both Chardonnay and Riesling grapes. Seneca management decided that for planning purposes it would be adequate to consider only two demand possibilities for each type of wine: strong or weak. With two possibilities for each type of wine it was necessary to assess four probabilities. With the help of some forecasts in…
a) The demand forecast for Month 6 would be: A. 565 haircuts B. 574 haircuts C. 578 haircuts D. 584 haircuts b) With Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) as the criterion, the best forecasting model for this time series data is: A. Naïve approach B. 2-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) C. Weighted Moving Average (WMA) with weights: 0.5, 0.3, 0.2 D. Exponential Smoothing (ES) with alpha = 0.8
Q3) Discuss Qualitative forecasting technique. Explain the situations where we use Qualitative methods. Discuss Delphi forecasting method and its challenge.
Previous Problem Problem List Next Problem (1 point) Using diaries for many weeks, a study on the lifestyles of visually impaired students was conducted. The students kept track of many lifestyle variables including how many hours of sleep obtained on a typical day. Researchers found that visually impaired students averaged 9.2 hours of sleep, with a standard deviation of 2.24 hours. Assume that the number of hours of sleep for these visually impaired students is normally distributed. (a) What is the probability that a visually impaired student gets less than 6.4 hours of sleep? answer: (b) What is the probability that a visually impaired student gets between 6.2 and 8.84 hours of sleep? answer: (c) Thirty percent of students get less than how many hours of sleep on a typical day? answer: hours Note: You can earn partial credit on this problem. Preview My Answers Submit Answers You have attempted this problem 0 times. You have unlimited attempts remaining.