ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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The manager of XYZ Company is introducing a new product that will yield $1,000 in profits if the economy does not go into a recession. However, if a recession occurs, demand for the normal good will fall so sharply that the company will lose $4,000. If economists project that there is a 10 percent chance the economy will go into a recession, what are the expected profits to XYZ Company of introducing the new product? How risky is the introduction of the new product?
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- The value of a successful project is $420,000; the probabilities of success are 1/2 with good supervision and 1/4 without. The manager is risk neutral, not risk averse as in the text, so his expected utility equals his expected income minus his disutility of effort. He can get other jobs paying $90,000, and his disutility for exerting the extra effort for good supervision on your project is $100,000. (a) Show that inducing high effort would require the firm to offer a compensation scheme with a negative base salary; that is, if the project fails, the manager pays the firm an amount stipulated in the scheme. (b) How might a negative base salary be implemented in reality? (c) Show that if a negative base salary is not feasible, then the firm does better to settle for the low-pay, low-effort situation.arrow_forwardSuppose that there is a 45 percent change that George's coffee shop will make $10000 in profits in January and a 45 percent chance it will make 0 profits and a 10 percent chance that it will make -$1000 in profits (i.e., it will lose $1000). Calculate the coffee shop's expected profitsarrow_forwardSuppose that every driver faces a 2% probability of an automobile accident every year. An accident will, on average, cost each driver $14,000. Suppose there are two types of individuals: those with $112,000.00 in the bank and those with $3,500.00 in the bank. Assume that individuals with $3,500.00 in the bank declare bankruptcy if they get in an accident. In bankruptcy, creditors receive only what individuals have in the bank. Assume that both types of individuals are only slightly risk averse. In this scenario, the actuarially fair price of full insurance, in which all damages are paid by the insurance company, is . Assume that the price of insurance is set at the actuarially fair price. At this price, drivers with $112,000.00 in the bank likely buy insurance, and those with $3,500.00 in the bank likely buy insurance. (Hint: For each type of driver, compare the price of insurance to the expected cost without insurance.) Suppose a state law has been passed…arrow_forward
- A risk-averse consumer with $100,000 in wealth faces 0.1 probability of losing half of his wealth within the next year. a. What is the consumer's expected wealth one year from now? b. An insurance company offers our consumer full insurance against the possible loss. What premium must the consumer be charged for the insurance company to expect to break even? c. Suppose our risk-averse consumer is indifferent between getting $85,000 wealth with certainty and facing the above described uncertain situation. What is the maximum premium that the insurance company will be able to charge this consumer for its full insurance policy?arrow_forwardSuppose that every driver faces a 2% probability of an automobile accident every year. An accident will, on average, cost each driver $7,000. Suppose there are two types of individuals: those with $42,000.00 in the bank and those with $1,750.00 in the bank. Assume that individuals with $1,750.00 in the bank declare bankruptcy if they get in an accident. In bankruptcy, creditors receive only what individuals have in the bank. Assume that both types of individuals are only slightly risk averse. In this scenario, the actuarially fair price of full insurance, in which all damages are paid by the insurance company, is $ Assume that the price of insurance is set at the actuarially fair price. At this price, drivers with $42,000.00 in the bank likely v buy insurance, and those with $1,750.00 in the bank likely buy insurance. (Hint: For each type of driver, compare the price of insurance to the expected cost without insurance.) Suppose a state law has been passed forcing all individuals to…arrow_forwardQ4. An individual with the utility function u(x) = x² owns her wealth of $20,000. An expected profit maximizing company (or risk neutral company) facing the individual can make expected profit greater than $ 19,900. True or False? Explain it. If it is true, showarrow_forward
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