Suppose that Betty is facing two options a and b. a gives Betty $4 on Tuesday, while b gives Betty $5 on Wednesday. Betty's utility function over money is given by u(x) = x2. Suppose that Betty is an exponential discounter and she prefers option a to option b on Monday. What is the range for Betty's discount factor? Draw Betty's "time indifference curve" that go through option a and her "time indifference curve" that go through option b on the same graph
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- Consider two individuals whose utility function over wealth I is ?(?) = √?. Both people face a 10 percent chance of getting sick, and foreach the total cost of illness equals $50,000. Suppose person A has a total net worth of $100,000, and person B has a total net worth of $1,000,000. Both people have the option to buy an actuarially fair insurance contract that would fully insure them against the cost of the illness. a. Using expected utility calculations, show that person A would certainly buy full, actuarially fair insurance. b. Suppose an insurance company wants to maximize profits and wants to charge each customer the maximum price they are willing to pay. How much should the insurance company charge each client so that both buy the contract? c. What is surprising about your result in part b? What does this tell you about how insurance companies may be pricing health insurance contracts in the real world?Suppose that you have two opportunities to invest $1M. The first will increase the amount invested by 50% with a probability of 0.6 or decrease it with a probability of 0.4. The second will increase it by 5% for certain. You wish to split the $1M between the two opportunities. Let x be the amount invested in the first opportunity with (1-x) invested in the second. Find the optimal value of x. Using expected value as the criterion (linear utility) Using the flowing utility function: u(x)=2.3 ln〖(1+4.5x)1- A consumer who starts (i.e. has an endowment) at point B, and has preferences shown by IC1, will want to borrow. Select one: True False 2-Assuming a mix of present and future consumption is preferred, ANY consumer who starts (i.e. has an endowment) at point A will gain utility from a rise in interest rates. Select one: True False 3-A consumer who starts at point B will want to borrow, but as little as possible in order to minimise the cost of interest. Select one: True False 4-If a consumer starts at point A, and then receives extra income in the present, this would appear as an outward shift of the budget constraint. Select one: True False
- Show that a decision maker who has a linear utilityfunction will rank two lotteries according to their expectedvalue.A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the occurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wagers W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and if it does not. Assume that the Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = with r > 0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA? Alex plays football for a local club in Kumasi. If he does not suffer any injury by the end of the season, he will get a professional contract with Kotoko, which is worth $10,000. If he is injured though, he will get a contract as a fitness coach worth $100. The probability of the injury is 10%. Describe the lottery What is the expected value of this lottery? What is the expected utility of this lottery if u(x) = Assume he could buy insurance at price P that could pay $9,900 in case of injury. What is the highest value of P that makes it worthwhile for Alex to purchase insurance? What is the certainty…Select the correct option : When the expected utility of offer A is larger than offer B, a rational individual would always prefer offer A to offer B. 1. True 2.False
- Let b(p,s,t) be the bet that pays out s with probability p and t with probability 1−p. We make the three following statements: S1: The CME for b is the value m such that u(m)=E[u(b(p,s,t))]. S2: A risk averse attitude corresponds to the case CME smaller than E[b(p,s,t))]. S3: A risk seeking attitude corresponds to a convex utility function. Are these statements true or false?Consider two treatments. Treatment 1 saves one year of life at a cost of $10,000. Treatment 2 saves ten years of life at a cost of $1,000,000. Which treatment is more cost-effective? Why? Consider two treatments. Treatment 1 saves six years of quality adjusted life at a cost of $90,000. Treatment 2 saves three years of quality adjusted life at a cost of $60,000. Which treatment is preferred from a cost utility analysis perspective? Suppose Jay has been experiencing back pain and that there are two options for back pain: Treatment Regimen Total Cost Pain Reduction Do nothing $0 0 units Cortisone injections $600 30 units Calculate the ICER between cortisone injections and doing nothing. Jay says he is willing to pay $10 for a per unit of pain reduction. Should he choose cortisone injections? Another treatment is discovered. It costs $700 and reduces pain by 25 units. Should he choose the new treatment?Consider the following prospects – A: (0.5, 0, 0.5: $100, $60, $10) B: (0, 0.9, 0.1: $100, $60, $10) C: (0.2, 0.5, 0.3: $100, $60, $10) D: (0.4, 0.2, 0.4: $100, $60, $10) Show that D>A>B>C is consistent with expected utility theory and that this preference ordering implies “risk-loving” preferences. Show that C>B>D>A is consistent with the expected utility theory.
- Consider the following claim: “If a decision maker prefers one given lottery that yields $x with probability 1 over another given lottery whose expected return is $x, then we can fully characterize the agent's risk attitude. That is, this information comparing two given lotteries is enough to determine if the decision maker is risk averse, risk loving or risk neutral.” If this claim is TRUE, then provide a proof. If it is FALSE, then prove your argument by providing an explanation.Assume that someone has inherited 2,000 bottles of wine from a rich uncle. He or she intends to drink these bottles over the next 40 years. Suppose that this person’s utility function for wine is given by u(c(t)) = (c(t))0.5, where c(t) is each instant t consumption of bottles. Assume also this person discounts future consumption at the rate δ = 0.05. Hence this person’s goal is to maximize 0ʃ40 e–0.05tu(c(t))dt = 0ʃ40 e–0.05t(c(t))0.5dt. Let x(t) represent the number of bottle of wine remaining at time t, constrained by x(0) = 2,000, x(40) = 0 and dx(t)/dt = – c(t): the stock of remaining bottles at each instant t is decreased by the consumption of bottles at instant t. The current value Hamiltonian expression yields: H = e–0.05t(c(t))0.5 + λ(– c(t)) + x(t)(dλ/dt). This person’s wine consumption decreases at a continuous rate of ??? percent per year. The number of bottles being consumed in the 30th year is approximately ???If the benefits of a given choice option are delayed further into the future(all other relevant factors remaining constant),then the present value of the option will a) increase b) decrease c) remain the same d) ( unknow, not enough information to say).