Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that the economy and market conditions will be average over the next few years. The company's CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognizing this uncertainty, she has also performed the following scenario analysis: Economic Scenario Recession Below average Average Above average Boom Probability of Outcome NPV 0.05 -$32 million 0.20 -18 million 0.50 12 million 0.20 24 million 0.05 28 million What are the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation? Enter your answers for the NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $1.24 million should be entered as 1.24, not 1,240,000. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. E(NPV): $ million ONPV: $ million CVNPV:

Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course List)
13th Edition
ISBN:9781337395083
Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Publisher:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. Daves
Chapter13: Capital Budgeting: Estimating Cash Flows And Analyzing Risk
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 11P: Scenario Analysis Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The...
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Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $12
million. This estimate assumes that the economy and market conditions will be average over the next few years. The
company's CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognizing this
uncertainty, she has also performed the following scenario analysis:
Economic Scenario
Recession
Below average
Average
Above average
Boom
Probability of Outcome
NPV
0.05
-$32 million
0.20
-18 million
0.50
12 million
0.20
24 million
0.05
28 million
What are the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation? Enter your answers for the NPV and
standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $1.24 million should be entered as 1.24, not 1,240,000. Do not
round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places.
E(NPV):
$
million
ONPV:
$
million
CVNPV:
Transcribed Image Text:Shao Industries is considering a proposed project for its capital budget. The company estimates the project's NPV is $12 million. This estimate assumes that the economy and market conditions will be average over the next few years. The company's CFO, however, forecasts there is only a 50% chance that the economy will be average. Recognizing this uncertainty, she has also performed the following scenario analysis: Economic Scenario Recession Below average Average Above average Boom Probability of Outcome NPV 0.05 -$32 million 0.20 -18 million 0.50 12 million 0.20 24 million 0.05 28 million What are the project's expected NPV, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation? Enter your answers for the NPV and standard deviation in millions. For example, an answer of $1.24 million should be entered as 1.24, not 1,240,000. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to two decimal places. E(NPV): $ million ONPV: $ million CVNPV:
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