
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781119256830
Author: Amos Gilat
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
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Question
The relationship between United States unemployment and inflation rates during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Background
The covid-19 pandemic has led to higher unemployment rates in the United States than normal because many people were laid off jobs in response to the pandemic (Al-Fadly, 2020). It is important to analyze how such as sharp increase in unemployment affected inflation in relation to how unemployment have traditionally affected inflation. The overall relationship between unemployment and inflation has traditionally been an inverse one. It is argued that when unemployment rates are higher, the number of individuals who are looking for jobs usually becomes higher than the number of job positions that are available (Putnam & Azzarello, 2015). In such a situation, employers tend to pay lower wages because there is abundance of workers which naturally leads to a lower wage inflation. This study will examine the relationship between unemployment rates and inflation rate during the Covid-19 pandemic in the United States and whether it still remains to be an inverse one.
Data
I collected unemployment and inflation rate data from online sources. Monthly data of unemployment rate and inflation rate was collected for the period January 2020 to March 2021. The data is presented in the table below.
period
Unemployment rate
Inflation rate
Jan-2020
3.50%
2.49%
Feb-2020
3.50%
2.33%
Mar-2020
4.40%
1.54%
Apr-2020
14.80%
0.33%
May-2020
13.30%
0.12%
Jun-2020
11.10%
0.65%
Jul-2020
10.20%
0.99%
Aug-2020
8.40%
1.31%
Sep-2020
7.80%
1.37%
Oct-2020
6.90%
1.18%
Nov-2020
6.70%
1.17%
Dec-2020
6.70%
1.36%
Jan-2021
6.30%
1.40%
Feb-2021
6.20%
1.68%
Mar-2021
6.00%
2.62%
Question
What fitted linear regression model will be suitable to predict inflation rate from unemployment
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