Fare F ($/trip) and travel time T (hr/trip) for Bus and Rails are given Bus: F= 40, T = 3 Rail: F = 56, T=2.5 We have a utility function u = -0.005 F -0.1 t * Use the logit model to find the probability of choosing bus * What change in rain rare would achieve the probability of choosing rail to be 55%? * What value use time is implied by the utility function? Start to think about the utility of one-hour a. it will be #% b. #$ c. $20$/hr
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Fare F ($/trip) and travel time T (hr/trip) for Bus and Rails are given
Bus: F= 40, T = 3
Rail: F = 56, T=2.5
We have a utility function u = -0.005 F -0.1 t
* Use the logit model to find the probability of choosing bus
* What change in rain rare would achieve the probability of choosing rail to be 55%?
* What value use time is implied by the utility function?
Start to think about the utility of one-hour
a. it will be #%
b. #$
c. $20$/hr
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- a. Consider the Oakdale Furniture Company described in the given problem. Under what circumstances might the major portion of the usage of the glue be predictable?b. If the demand were predictable, would you want to use a probability law todescribe it? Under what circumstances might the use of a probability model of demand be justified even if the demand could be predicted exactly?The promoter of a football game is concerned that it will rain. She has the option of spending $14,040 on insurance that will pay $39,000 if it rains. She estimates that the revenue from the game will be $65,040 if it does not rain and $30,040 if it does rain. What must the chance of rain be if buying the policy has the same expected return as not buying it? Write expressions showing the expected returns if the promoter does and does not purchase the insurance, using p to represent the probability of rain. Without insurance, E(return) = With insurance, E(return) = The chance of rain must be _%.To go from Location 1 to Location 2, you can either take a car or take transit. Your utility function is: U= -1Xminutes -5Xdollars +0.13Xcar (i.e. 0.13 is the car constant) Car= 15 minutes and $8 Transit= 40 minutes and $4 What is your probability of taking transit given the conditions above? What is your probability of taking transit if the number of buses on the route were doubled, meaning the headways are halved? Remember to include units.
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- Hello can any one help with this Economics question: A contractor spends Dollar 3,000 to prepare for a bid on a construction project which, after deducting manufacturing expenses and the cost of bidding, will yield a profit of dollar 25,000 if the bid is won. If the chance of winning the bid is ten per cent, compute his expected profit and state the likely decision on whether to bid or not to bid?Alice would be willing to pay up to £15 for a gamble giving a 35% chance of £50 and a 65% chance of £10. (a) What is the expected value of this gamble? Represent Alice's preference over risk in a large, suitably labelled graph. The graph should include Alice's expected utility from the gamble described above (b) Represent on the same graph the maximum amount that Alice would pay to remove the risk from this gamble.3. Further questions Now, imagine that Port Chester decides to crack down on motorists who park illegally by increasing the number of officers issuing parking tickets (thus, raising the probability of a ticket). If the cost of a ticket is $100, and the opportunity cost for the average driver of searching for parking is $12, which of the following probabilities would make the average person stop parking illegally? Assume that people will not park illegally if the expected value of doing so is negative. Check all that apply. 13% 21% 9% 10% Alternatively, the city could hold the number of officers constant and discourage parking violations by raising the fine for illegal parking. Suppose the average probability of getting caught for parking illegally is currently 10% citywide, and the average opportunity cost of parking is, again, $12. The fine that would make the average person indifferent between searching for parking and parking illegally is 5 park illegally if the expected value of…