Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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- Following are two weekly forecasts made by two different methods for the number of gallons of gasoline, in thousands, demanded at a local gasoline station. Also shown are actual demand levels, in thousands of gallons: Week Forecast Method 1 Actual Demand 1 0.95 0.72 2 1.08 0.98 3 0.92 1.07 4 1.17 1.04 Week Forecast Method 2 Actual Demand 1 0.80 0.72 2 1.21 0.98 3 0.88 1.07 4 1.17 1.04 Part 2 The MAD for Method 1 = enter your response here thousand gallons (round your response to three decimal places).arrow_forwardAccuracy of forecasts. The manager of a large manufacturer of industrial pumps must choose betweentwo alternative forecasting techniques. Both techniques have been used to prepare forecasts for a sixmonth period. Using MAD as a criterion, which technique has the better performance record?FORECASTMonth Demand Technique 1 Technique 21 492 488 4952 470 484 4823 485 480 4784 493 490 4885 498 497 4926 492 493 493arrow_forwardWhat is the definition of a forecast error?a. The average difference between the forecast and the actual outcomeb. The maximum difference between the forecast and the actual outcomec. The difference between the forecast and the actual outcomed. The percentage difference between the forecast and the actual outcomearrow_forward
- Sales of tablet computers at Marika Gonzalez's electronics store in Washington, D.C., over the past 10 weeks are shown in the table below: Week Demand 1 20 2 20 Week 1 Demand 20 Forecast 20.0 3 29 4 37 4 37 5 24 2 3 29 20 6 30 7 8 37 24 a) The forecast for weeks 2 through 10 using exponential smoothing with a = 0.55 and a week 1 initial forecast of 20.0 are (round your responses to two decimal places): 5 6 30 24 7 37 9 24 8 24 10 28 9 24 10 28arrow_forward- Sales of tablet computers at Ted Glickman's electronics store in Washington, D.C., over the past 10 weeks are shown in the table below: 6 10 Week 1 Demand 20 2 3 23 27 4 5 37 26 7 8 9 30 35 22 24 29 a) The forecast for weeks 2 through 10 using exponential smoothing with a = 0.55 and a week 1 initial forecast of 20.0 are (round your responses to two decimal places): Week 1 Demand 20 Forecast 20.0 2 3 23 27 4 37 5 26 6 30 7 35 8 22 9 24 10 29arrow_forwardAn electrical contractor’s records during the last five weeks indicate the number of job requests:Week 1 2 3 4 5Requests 20 22 18 21 22 Predict the number of requests for week 6 using each of these methods:a. Naiveb. A four-period moving averagec. Exponential smoothing with α = .30; use 20 for week 2 forecastarrow_forward
- National Standard, Inc. sells radio frequency identification (RFID) tags. Monthly demand for a seven-month period is reported below: Sales (1000 units) Forecast Observation Month Yt Ft 1 February 19 2 March 18 3 April 15 4 May 20 5 June 18 6 July 22 7 August 20 8 September ? Use Excel to plot the data and forecast September sales using the following methods: The naïve forecast A three-month moving average Exponential smoothing with a smoothing coefficient of α = 0.2, assuming a February forecast of 19 A 3-month weighted moving average, with weights 0.60, 0.3, and 0.1. With 0.6 applied to the most recent past.arrow_forward1. Discuss the differences between Qualitative and Quantitative forecasting models. How do Associative and Time Series techniques differ? 2. What is the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)? 3. Use the following set of data to calculate the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) for the following set of data. Actual (A:) Forecast (Ft) Forecast Error Absolute (Deviation) Month Forecast Eror January February March 45 45 42 50 34 45 April 48 40 Мay 38 45 MAD =arrow_forward4. An electrical contractor's records during the last five weeks indicate the number of job requests: 1 3 20 18 Week Requests 2 22 4 21 5 22 Predict the number of requests for week 6 using each of these methods: a. Naive b. A four-period moving average c. Exponential smoothing with a = 30; use 20 for week 2 forecastarrow_forward
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