Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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### Demand for Oil Changes at Garcia's Garage

#### Monthly Data for Oil Change Demand

| Month     | Number of Oil Changes |
|-----------|------------------------|
| January   | 38                     |
| February  | 55                     |
| March     | 66                     |
| April     | 60                     |
| May       | 58                     |
| June      | 61                     |
| July      | 70                     |
| August    | 52                     |

#### Analysis Task

**Objective**: Use simple linear regression analysis to develop a forecasting model for monthly demand. 

- **Dependent Variable, \( Y \)**: Monthly demand (number of oil changes).
- **Independent Variable, \( X \)**: Time period, expressed in months (e.g., January = 1, February = 2, ... August = 8).

**Instructions**:
1. For January, let \( X = 1 \).
2. For February, let \( X = 2 \).
3. Continue incrementing \( X \) by 1 for each subsequent month.

The forecasting model is given by the equation:

\[ Y = b_0 + b_1 \cdot X \]

*(Enter your responses rounded to two decimal places.)*

### Explanation of the Table
The provided table displays the number of oil changes recorded for each month from January to August. This data will serve as the basis for developing a predictive model using simple linear regression, which will allow us to forecast future demand based on the trend observed in the historical data.
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Transcribed Image Text:### Demand for Oil Changes at Garcia's Garage #### Monthly Data for Oil Change Demand | Month | Number of Oil Changes | |-----------|------------------------| | January | 38 | | February | 55 | | March | 66 | | April | 60 | | May | 58 | | June | 61 | | July | 70 | | August | 52 | #### Analysis Task **Objective**: Use simple linear regression analysis to develop a forecasting model for monthly demand. - **Dependent Variable, \( Y \)**: Monthly demand (number of oil changes). - **Independent Variable, \( X \)**: Time period, expressed in months (e.g., January = 1, February = 2, ... August = 8). **Instructions**: 1. For January, let \( X = 1 \). 2. For February, let \( X = 2 \). 3. Continue incrementing \( X \) by 1 for each subsequent month. The forecasting model is given by the equation: \[ Y = b_0 + b_1 \cdot X \] *(Enter your responses rounded to two decimal places.)* ### Explanation of the Table The provided table displays the number of oil changes recorded for each month from January to August. This data will serve as the basis for developing a predictive model using simple linear regression, which will allow us to forecast future demand based on the trend observed in the historical data.
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