Decision Tree Analysis Example 13.2-1 Suppose that you want to invest $10,000 in the stock market by buying shares in one of two companies A and B: Shares in Company A, though risky, could yield a 50% return on investment during the next year. If the stock market conditions are not favorable (i.e., "bear" market), the stock may lose 20% of its value. Company B provides safe investments with 15% return in a "bull " market and only 5% in a "bear" market. All the publications you have consulted are predicting a 60% chance for a "bull" market and 40% for a "bear" market. Where should you invest your money?

EBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
14th Edition
ISBN:9781337514835
Author:MOYER
Publisher:MOYER
Chapter8: Analysis Of Risk And Return
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 11P
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Decision Tree Analysis
Example 13.2-1
Suppose that you want to invest $10,000 in the stock market by
buying shares in one of two companies A and B:
Shares in Company A, though risky, could yield a 50% return on
investment during the next year. If the stock market conditions
are not favorable (i.e., "bear" market), the stock may lose 20% of
its value. Company B provides safe investments with 15% return
in a "bull " market and only 5% in a "bear" market. All the
I3D
publications you have consulted are predicting a 60% chance for
a "bull" market and 40% for a "bear" market. Where should you
invest your money?
Prof Dr Taleb Obaid
Spring 2018
90
Transcribed Image Text:Decision Tree Analysis Example 13.2-1 Suppose that you want to invest $10,000 in the stock market by buying shares in one of two companies A and B: Shares in Company A, though risky, could yield a 50% return on investment during the next year. If the stock market conditions are not favorable (i.e., "bear" market), the stock may lose 20% of its value. Company B provides safe investments with 15% return in a "bull " market and only 5% in a "bear" market. All the I3D publications you have consulted are predicting a 60% chance for a "bull" market and 40% for a "bear" market. Where should you invest your money? Prof Dr Taleb Obaid Spring 2018 90
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