A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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Consider a group of people who have received treatment for a disease
such as cancer. Let t be the survival time, the number of years a person lives after receiving
treatment. The density function giving the distribution of t is p(t) = Ce-Ct for some positive
constant C, and the cumulative distribution function is P(t) = , p(x)dx.
Think carefully about what the practical meaning of P(t) is, being sure that you can put it into
words.
a) The survival function, S(t), is the probability that a randomly selected person survives for at
least t years. Find a formula for S(t).
b) Suppose that a patient has a 80 percent chance of surviving at least 2 years. Find C.
c) Using the value of C you found in (b), find the probability that the patient survives up to
(that is, less than or equal to) 1 years.
d) Using the value of C you found in (b), find the the mean survival time for patients with this
survival function, in years.
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Transcribed Image Text:Consider a group of people who have received treatment for a disease such as cancer. Let t be the survival time, the number of years a person lives after receiving treatment. The density function giving the distribution of t is p(t) = Ce-Ct for some positive constant C, and the cumulative distribution function is P(t) = , p(x)dx. Think carefully about what the practical meaning of P(t) is, being sure that you can put it into words. a) The survival function, S(t), is the probability that a randomly selected person survives for at least t years. Find a formula for S(t). b) Suppose that a patient has a 80 percent chance of surviving at least 2 years. Find C. c) Using the value of C you found in (b), find the probability that the patient survives up to (that is, less than or equal to) 1 years. d) Using the value of C you found in (b), find the the mean survival time for patients with this survival function, in years.
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