Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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Compare and contrast programmed and nonprogrammed decisions and describe the decision characteristics of certainty and uncertainty.
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- What are the key steps involved in the decision-making process according to decision theory, and how can decision analysis tools and techniques aid in each step?arrow_forwardDecision-making framework: You will use the DECIDE model to make your decision. The DECIDE model is a six-step decision-making framework that stands for: Define the problem Establish the criteria Consider all the alternatives Identify the best alternative Develop and implement a plan of action Evaluate and monitor the decision Scenario: Imagine that you are the CEO of a small business that sells handmade jewelry. Your business has been growing steadily for the past few years, and you are now considering expanding into a new market. You have narrowed down your options to two cities: New York City and Los Angeles. Instructions: Use the DECIDE model to make a decision about which city to expand into. Be sure to include all of the steps in the DECIDE model in your post. Be as specific as possible when describing your scenario. What are the pros and cons of each city? What are the criteria that you will use to make your decision?arrow_forwardIdentify each of the following examples as a programmed or nonprogrammed decision. Example Determining when to pay taxes Determining whether or not to ground an entire fleet of airplanes after one similar airplane has had an accident Identify the order in which the following steps are taken in the decision-making process. Step Monitoring the outcomes of a decision to see if it meets its objective Gathering information relevant to the problem Recognizing the problem Selecting the alternative that best meets the decision objective Listing and evaluating alternative courses of action Implementing the decision Identifying the objective of the decision Order 7 2 ▼ 1 ▼ 5 ▼ 4 ▼ 6 3 ▼ Programmed Decision Nonprogrammed Decisionarrow_forward
- What is the major disadvantage to the expected value criterion in a decision tree? none of the other choices creating a correct decision tree modeling the decision process designing experiments to get posterior probabilities Expected values work best for a decision made many times. « Previous Not Simpfunarrow_forwardIdentify factors that are important for good decision-making and what factors can inhibit good decision making.arrow_forwardIndividuals often shortcut the decision making process. Describe 3 of these shortcuts and provide examples of how these could impact a Managers' decision in the Workplace.arrow_forward
- “I had to spend 27 minutes on hold before talking to an agent”. i would like to answer want to Focus on how long the customer had to wait.arrow_forwardGENERATE THE DECISION VARIABLE SOLUTION AND GENERATE A SENSITIVITY REPORT CASE 1. Julia's Food Booth Julia Robertson is a senior at Tech, and she's investigating different ways to finance her final year at school. She is considering leasing a food booth outside the Tech stadium at home football games. Tech sells out every home game, and Julia knows, from attending the games herself, that everyone eats a lot of food. She has to pay $1,000 per game for a booth, and the booths are not very large. Vendors can sell either food or drinks on Tech property, but not both. Only the Tech athletic department concession stands can sell both inside the stadium. She thinks slices of cheese pizza, hot dogs, and barbecue sandwiches are the most popular food items among fans and so these are the items she would sell. Most food items are sold during the hour before the game starts and during half time; thus it will not be possible for Julia to prepare the food while she is selling it. She must prepare…arrow_forward1) A decision maker using an exponential utility function would prefer a random payoff with an expected value of X to a certain payoff of X. True False 2) In a decision tree, a circular node indicates a point where a random event occurs. True False 3) The optimistic and conservative approaches to decision making will always give the same result. True Falsearrow_forward
- Miriam and Devon are both upper-level managers, but have very different decision-making styles. Please name and describe in your own words four decision making processes that could be used to guide their decision making. In addition, provide and explain in your own words 10 ways in which their decision could, in general, be derailed or hindered, and explain each.arrow_forwardBias in decision-making happens without a thought in most decisions. Identify a recent or current event in which you think bias was evident in the decision-making process surrounding that event.arrow_forwardApply the PACED decision-making model to a decision you will need to make about your life after high school. You should: define the problem; complete a PACED grid with at least 3 alternatives and 5 criteria; explain how you define (+), (-), and (x) in your evaluation; explain your final decision.arrow_forward
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