Chris Suit is administrator for Lowell Hospital. She is trying to determine whether to build a large wing on the existing hospital, a small wing, or no wing at all. If the population of Lowell continues to grow, a large wing could return $150,000 to the hospital each year. If a small wing were built, it would return $100,000 to the hospital each year if the population continues to grow. If the population of Lowell remains the same, the hospital would encounter a loss of $85,000 with a large wing and a loss of $45,000 with a small wing. Unfortunately, Suit does not have any information about the future population of Lowell. a. Assuming that each state of nature has the same likelihood, determine the best alternative. [Select] what is the EMV? [Select] b. If the likelihood of growth is .4 and that of remaining the same is .6 and the decision criterion is expected monetary value, which decision should Suit make? [Select] what is the EMV? [Select] "
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- Problems 2 Helen Murvis, hospital administrator for Portland General Hospital, is trying to determine whether to build a large wing onto the existing hospital, a small wing, or no wing at all. If the population of Portland continues to grow, a large wing could return $150,000 to the hospital each year. If the small wing were built, it would return S$60,000 to the hospital each year if the population continues to grow. If the population of Portland remains the same, the hospital would encounter a loss of $85,000 if the large wing were built. Furthermore, a loss of $45,000 would be realized if the small wing were constructed and the population remains the same. Unfortunately, Helen does not have any information about the future population of Portland * Develop a decision table for this problem. * Determine the best decision using the following decision criteria 1. Мaximax 2. Маximin 3. Minimax Regret Hurwicz (use a coefficient of realism of 0.75) 5. Equal likelihood 6. Expected Value 7.…A firm is weighing three capacity alternatives: small, medium, and large job shop.Whatever capacity choice is made, the market for the firm’s product can be “moderate”or “strong.” The probability of moderate acceptance is estimated to be 40%; strongacceptance has a probability of 60%. The payoffs are as follows. Small job shop,moderate market = $24,000; Small job shop, strong market = $54,000. Medium job shop,moderate market = $20,000; medium job shop, strong market = $64,000.Large job shop,moderate market = -$2,000; large job shop, strong market = $96,000. Which capacitychoice should the firm make?A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or hit, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35 respectively A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $60,000 or large to earn $125,000. A medium-size facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-size facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the large facility,…
- A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or hit, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35 respectively A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $60,000 or to large to earn $125,000. A medium-size facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-size facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the large facility,…A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.40, 0.35, and 0.25, respectively. A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $13,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $15,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $30,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $25,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $50,000 or to large size to earn $100,000. A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $50,000 if demand is low and earn $100,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $125,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $175,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $180,000. If demand is average for the large…A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35, respectively. A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn 75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $60,000 or to large size to earn $125,000. A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the…
- A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35, respectively. A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $60,000 or to large size to earn $125,000. A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earningsare expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the large…A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40 and 0.35, respectively. A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium $60,000 or large to earn $125,000. A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is build and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the large facility, the present…The city of Winnipeg is considering whether to build a new public ice rink. This rink would have a capacity of 800 ice skaters per day, and the proposed admission fee is $6 per individual per day. The estimated cost of the ice rink, averaged over the life of the rink, is $4 per ice skater per day. The city of Winnipeg has hired you to assess this project. Fortunately, Ottawa already has an ice rink, and the city of Ottawa has randomly varied the price of that rink to find how price affects usage. The results from their study follow: Ice rink price Number of ice skaters per day $8 $10 $4 $6 $2 per day 500 200 1100 800 1400 a. If the ice rink is built as planned, what would be the net benefit per day from the ice rink? What is the consumer surplus for ice skaters? b. Given this information, is an 800-ice rink the optimally sized ice rink for Winnipeg to build? Explain.
- A rock concert producer has scheduled an outdoor concert. The producer estimates the attendance will depend on the weather according to the following table. Weather Attendance Probability wet, cold 4000 0.1 wet, warm 25000 0.1 dry, cold 30000 0.1 dry, warm 45000 0.7 (a) What is the expected attendance? (b) If tickets cost $ 30 each, the band will cost $ 250,000, plus $ 55,000 for administration. What is the expected profit?A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small,medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average,or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40,and 0.35, respectively.A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net pres-ent value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand isaverage, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it canbe increased to medium size to earn a net present value of$60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn$60,000 or to large size to earn $125,000.A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated$25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand isaverage. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility isexpected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can beexpanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000.If a large facility is built and demand is high, earningsare expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for thelarge facility, the…* 00 Miles is considering buying a new pickup truck for his lawn service firm. The economy in town seems to be growing, and he is wondering whether he should opt for a subcompact, compact, or full-size pickup truck. The smaller truck would have better fuel economy, but would sacrifice capacity and some durability. A friend at the Bureau of Economic Research told him that there is a 30% chance of lower gas prices in his area this year, a 20% chance of higher gas prices, and a 50% chance that gas prices will stay roughly unchanged. Based on this information, Miles has developed a decision table that indicates the profit amount he would end up with after a year for each combination of truck and gas prices. States of Nature Lower gas Gas prices Higher gas Alternatives prices unchanged prices Subcompact 19,000 000 Compact OGOʻST 000 Full size 000'9 Probability 0.3 0.5 0.2 MacBook Air 000 000 DD F7 08 F4 F5 6 %24 ) 9 | K. D.