An investor believes that a particular stock's beta changes over time. To investigate the investor estimates a series of betas for this stock each using 60 months of data over different time periods. The investor then regresses the estimated beta for the current year on the estimated beta for the prior year. The regression estimates are: B₁ = 0.35 + 0.82ẞt-1. If the stocks estimated beta for this year is 0.95, what would be the predicted beta for the coming year? 1.02 0.78 1.30 1.09 None of the above
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- You are given the following returns on "the market" and Stock F during the last three years. We could calculate beta using data for Years 1 and 2 and then, after Year 3, calculate a new beta for Years 2 and 3. How different are those two betas, i.e., what's the value of beta 2 - beta 1? (Hint: You can find betas using the Rise-Over-Run method, or using your calculator's regression function.) Year Market Stock F 1 6.10% 19.50% 2 12.90% −3.70% 3 16.20% 21.71% A. 10.96 B. 10.91 C. 11.06 D. 11.01 E. 11.11 Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.Consider the following average annual returns for Stocks A and B and the Market. Which of the possible answers best describes the historical betas for A and B? Years Market Stock A Stock B 1 0.03 0.16 0.05 2 −0.05 0.20 0.05 3 0.01 0.18 0.05 4 −0.10 0.25 0.05 5 0.06 0.14 0.05 a. bA > +1; bB = 0. b. bA = 0; bB = −1. c. bA < 0; bB = 0. d. bA < −1; bB = 1. e. bA > 0; bB = 1.The table below presents the returns on stocks ABC and XYZ for a five-year period. Year ABC XYZ 1 0.16 0.12 2 0.42 0.62 3 -0.02 -0.23 4 -0.26 -0.62 5 0.48 0.52 Calculate the average return, and standard deviation of stock ABC and XYZ. Also calculate the correlation between the two stocks. What does the correlation tell you about the return movements of the two stocks? Calculate the weight of each stock in the minimum variance portfolio, assume the expected return equals to average return for each stock. Find the mix of stocks ABC and XYZ that gives a portfolio on the efficient frontier AND demonstrate why this portfolio is on the efficient frontier by showing that there exists another portfolio of stocks ABC and XYZ that has the same level of risk (portfolio standard deviation) but inferior return. Hint: manipulate the weights you get from part b. Suppose the risk-free rate is 6%. Also assume the…
- A stock recently has been estimated to have a beta of 1.24:a. What will a beta book compute as the “adjusted beta” of this stock?b. Suppose that you estimate the following regression describing the evolution of beta over time:βt = .3 + .7βt−1What would be your predicted beta for next year?You have developed data which give (1) the average annual returns of the market for the past five years and (2) similar information on Stocks A and B. If these data are as follows, which of the possible answers best describes the historical beta for A and B? Please circle the correct answer: Years Market Stock A Stock B 1 .03 .16 .05 2 -.05 .20 .05 3 .01 .18 .05 4 -.10 .25 .05 5 .06 .14 .05 a. bA > 0; bB = 1. b. bA > +1; bB = 0. c. bA = 0; bB = -1. d. bA < 0; bB = 0. e. bA < -1; bB = 1.Suppose the following equation best describes the evolution of β over time: t = 0.18 + 0.63βt – 1. If a stock had a β of 1.09 last year, you would forecast the β to be _______ in the coming year. A. 0.18 B. 0.63 C. 0.87 D. 0.81
- The following table represents the rate of returns of two stocks in different economic conditions along with their probabilities (the data are also uploaded on moodle) RATES OF RETURN ON STOCKS EXPECTED ECONOMIC PROBABILITY STOCK A STOCK B CONDITIONS RECESSION 0.55 -0.04 -0.02 STABLE 0.35 0.25 0.30 EXPANDING 0.10 0.15 0.20 Answer the following by using mathematical calculations: a) Calculate the expected rate of return for each stock respectively. Explain what the expected value implies. b) Calculate the standard deviation for each stock respectively. Explain what the standard deviation implies. c) If you were an investor in which stock you were going to invest? Justify your answer. d) Calculate the covariance between Stock A and stock B. Discuss. e) Calculate the expected return and the standard deviation of the portfolio consisting 40% in stock A and 60% in stock B. f) Discuss the risk and return associated with investing i All of your funds in stock A ii. All of your funds in stock…A challenge we run into when forecasting future stock returns is that stock returns compound. So, when using historical averages to forecast the future, we need to average together the arithmetic and geometric average returns using Blume's Formula: R(T) = T GeoAvg + NT Arith Avg N-1 In this formula, N is the number of historical annual returns you are using to calculate your averages and T is the number of future annual returns you are forecasting. Suppose you gather the following prices for a stock in order to calculate the last 10 (N = 10) annual returns. The stock does not pay dividends. Time 0 1 Time 0 calculate the last 10 (N=10) annual returns. The stock does not pay dividends. 1 2 3 4 5 10 6 . 7 8 9 10 Price $23.16 $32.81 Price $23.16 $32.81 $33.63 $36.83 $41.95 $41.04 $33.83 $37.45 $30.56 $29.90 $47.93 Using Blume's formula, what is the expected return per year for the next 4 years (T = 4)? Enter your answer as a percentage, rounded to the nearest 0.0001. For example, for…Consider the rate of return of stocks ABC and XYZ. Year rABC rXYZ 1 20 % 28 % 2 8 11 3 16 19 4 4 1 5 2 −9 a. Calculate the arithmetic average return on these stocks over the sample period. b. Which stock has greater dispersion around the mean return? A. ABC B. XYZ c. Calculate the geometric average returns of each stock. What do you conclude? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) d. If you were equally likely to earn a return of 20%, 8%, 16%, 4%, or 2%, in each year (these are the five annual returns for stock ABC), what would be your expected rate of return? (Do not round intermediate calculations.) e. What if the five possible outcomes were those of stock XYZ? f. Given your answers to (d) and (e), which measure of average return, arithmetic or geometric, appears more useful for predicting future performance? A. Arithmetic B. Geometric
- You have estimated the following probability distributions of expected future returns for Stocks X and Y: Stock X Stock Y Probability Return Probability Return 0.1 -12 % 0.2 4 % 0.1 11 0.2 7 0.3 14 0.3 11 0.3 30 0.2 17 0.2 40 0.1 30 What is the expected rate of return for Stock X? Stock Y? Round your answers to one decimal place.Stock X: % Stock Y: % What is the standard deviation of expected returns for Stock X? For Stock Y? Round your answers to two decimal places.Stock X: % Stock Y: % Which stock would you consider to be riskier? is riskier because it has a standard deviation of returns.You have the following data on (1) the average annual returns of the market for the past 5 years and (2) similar information on Stocks A and B. Which of the possible answers best describes the historical betas for A and B? Years 23411 5 O bA > 0: bg=1. O bA +1; bB = 0. O bA= 0; b B = -1. O bA < 0; bg = 0. O bA<-1; bg=1. Market 0.03 -0.05 0.01 -0.10 0.06 Stock A 0.16 0.20 0.18 0.25 0.14 Stock B 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05The index model has been estimated for stock A with the following results: RA = 0.01 + 1.2RM + eA. σM = 0.15; σ(eA) = 0.10. The standard deviation of the return for stock A is