MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781119256830
Author: Amos Gilat
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
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**Investment Decision Analysis**

An investment counselor calls with a hot stock tip. He believes that if the economy remains strong, the investment will result in a profit of $60,000. If the economy grows at a moderate pace, the investment will result in a profit of $10,000. However, if the economy goes into recession, the investment will result in a loss of $60,000.

You contact an economist who believes there is a 20% probability the economy will remain strong, a 60% probability the economy will grow at a moderate pace, and a 20% probability the economy will slip into recession.

**What is the expected profit from this investment?**

The expected profit is $[ ].

*(Type an integer or a decimal.)*

**Explanation**

To calculate the expected profit, use the formula:

\[ \text{Expected Profit} = (P_{\text{strong}} \times \text{Profit}_{\text{strong}}) + (P_{\text{moderate}} \times \text{Profit}_{\text{moderate}}) + (P_{\text{recession}} \times \text{Loss}_{\text{recession}}) \]

Where:
- \(P_{\text{strong}} = 0.20\), \( \text{Profit}_{\text{strong}} = 60,000 \)
- \(P_{\text{moderate}} = 0.60\), \( \text{Profit}_{\text{moderate}} = 10,000 \)
- \(P_{\text{recession}} = 0.20\), \( \text{Loss}_{\text{recession}} = -60,000 \)

Substitute the values to find the expected profit.
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Transcribed Image Text:**Investment Decision Analysis** An investment counselor calls with a hot stock tip. He believes that if the economy remains strong, the investment will result in a profit of $60,000. If the economy grows at a moderate pace, the investment will result in a profit of $10,000. However, if the economy goes into recession, the investment will result in a loss of $60,000. You contact an economist who believes there is a 20% probability the economy will remain strong, a 60% probability the economy will grow at a moderate pace, and a 20% probability the economy will slip into recession. **What is the expected profit from this investment?** The expected profit is $[ ]. *(Type an integer or a decimal.)* **Explanation** To calculate the expected profit, use the formula: \[ \text{Expected Profit} = (P_{\text{strong}} \times \text{Profit}_{\text{strong}}) + (P_{\text{moderate}} \times \text{Profit}_{\text{moderate}}) + (P_{\text{recession}} \times \text{Loss}_{\text{recession}}) \] Where: - \(P_{\text{strong}} = 0.20\), \( \text{Profit}_{\text{strong}} = 60,000 \) - \(P_{\text{moderate}} = 0.60\), \( \text{Profit}_{\text{moderate}} = 10,000 \) - \(P_{\text{recession}} = 0.20\), \( \text{Loss}_{\text{recession}} = -60,000 \) Substitute the values to find the expected profit.
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