ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931919
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: Oxford University Press
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- Q13arrow_forwardIn the Hawaiian Beach Boy surf board vendor scenario, what if the fine was increased to $190 but the probability of a fine decreased to one in 20 days, 5%? What would be the expected value – Exp(RS) -- of continuing to rent surfboards? Assume the other numbers stay the same. He makes $300/day and to rent boards from friends costs him $100 a day. So, he makes $200 a day. Write out the expected value formula, plug in the numbers, and show the math. Hint: the Exp(RS) should be higher than the previously calculated $160.arrow_forwardSoft selling occurs when a buyer is skeptical of the usefulness of a product and the seller offers to set a price that depends on realized value. For example, suppose a sales representative is trying to sell a company a new accounting system that will, with certainty, reduce costs by 10%. However, the customer has heard this claim before and believes there is only a 30% chance of actually realizing that cost reduction and a 70% chance of realizing no cost reduction. Assume the customer has an initial total cost of $300. According to the customer's beliefs, the expected value of the accounting system, or the expected reduction in cost, is . Suppose the sales representative initially offers the accounting system to the customer for a price of $19.50. The information asymmetry stems from the fact that the has more information about the efficacy of the accounting system than does the . At this price, the customer purchase the accounting system, since the expected…arrow_forward
- The following table shows cost payoffs for four decision variables and four states of nature. S₁ S2 di 20 20 S S3 54 8 19 4 d2 12 12 40 d3 10 10 16 16 16 d4 30 30 25 20 20 9 110 14 14 Suppose the decision maker assigns the probability for S₁ = 0.10; S2 = 0.40; S3 = 0.20; and S4 = 0.30, what is the expected value of best decision? 21.2 21.8 20 19.2arrow_forwardThelma is indifferent between $100 and a bet with a 0.6 chance of no return and a 0.4 chance of $200. If U(0) = 20 and U(200) = 220, then U(100) = :arrow_forwardSoft selling occurs when a buyer is skeptical of the usefulness of a product and the seller offers to set a price that depends on realized value. For example, suppose a sales representative is trying to sell a company a new accounting system that will, with certainty, reduce costs by 10%. However, the customer has heard this claim before and believes there is only a 20% chance of actually realizing that cost reduction and a 80% chance of realizing no cost reduction. Assume the customer has an initial total cost of $200. According to the customer's beliefs, the expected value of the accounting system, or the expected reduction in cost, is $____ . Suppose the sales representative initially offers the accounting system to the customer for a price of $12.00. The information asymmetry stems from the fact that the ______(sales rep or buyer) has less information about the efficacy of the accounting system than does the ______(sales rep or buyer) . At this price, the…arrow_forward
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