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A firm is considering a project with a 5-year life and an initial cost of $1,000,000. The discount rate for the project is
10%. The firm expects to sell 2,500 units a year for the first 3 years. The after-tax cash flow per unit is $120. Beyond
year 3, there is a 50% chance that sales will fall to 400 units a year for both years 4 and 5, and a 50% chance that sales
will continue at 2,500 units a year, for both years 4 and 5. The firm will have the option to abandon the project after 3
years (i.e., at t=3) by selling it for $250,000 (after-taxes). You will know which state will be realized in years 4 and 5
(should the project be continued) by the time you have to make the potential abandonment decision at t=3. What is the
the NPV with the option and NPV without the option.
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