6) The sensitivity of a medical test is defined as the probability that the test will be positive, given that the person has the disease. The specificity of a test is defined as the probability that the test will be negative, given that the person does not have the disease.  The sensitivity for breast cancer of a mammography is approximately 79.6%. The specificity of a mammography exam is approximately 90.2% Approximately 2.4% of women under the age of 50 have breast cancer.  (a) Draw a tree diagram that represents the above data for breast cancer and mammography exams. (b) Given that a women under the age of 50 tests positive for breast cancer during a mammography exam, find the probability that she has cancer.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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6) The sensitivity of a medical test is defined as the probability that the test will be positive, given that the person has the disease. The specificity of a test is defined as the probability that the test will be negative, given that the person does not have the disease. 

The sensitivity for breast cancer of a mammography is approximately 79.6%. The specificity of a mammography exam is approximately 90.2% Approximately 2.4% of women under the age of 50 have breast cancer. 

(a) Draw a tree diagram that represents the above data for breast cancer and mammography exams.

(b) Given that a women under the age of 50 tests positive for breast cancer during a mammography exam, find the probability that she has cancer. 

 

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