45 A forecasting method has produced the following over the past five months. What is the mean absolute deviation?   Actual Forecast Error |Error| 10 11 -1 1 8 10 -2 2 10 8  2 2 6 6  0 0 9 8  1 1   Select one: a. -0.2 b. 1.2 c. 8.6 d. -1.0 e. 0.0

The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 Pints Used 350 370 410 381 371 378 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = 376.67 pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.20, 0.35, and 0.45, using 0.45 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.)

Asvnch Problem - Statistical Forecasting Data Set – Eunice BC Fashion Monthly Sales, in million units. Year Total Sales Year Total Sales 2010 38 2016 43 2011 41 2017 40 2012 40 2018 45 2013 45 2019 47 2014 50 2020 42 2015 42 2021 48 Questions: a. Find the naïve forecast. b. Use the 3 years moving average forecast. c. Have a 5 years weighted moving average. d. Develop forecast using exponential smoothing with a = 0.2. e. Determine the trend line equation and present the forecast. f. Find the best forecast for year 2022. Note: Use the first 5 years as the training samples and the last 5 years as the forecasting samples. Solve it in Excel Sheet/Sheet with Equations as possible.

Define the MONITORING FORECAST ERROR?

Please answer fast please arjent help please

Given the following historical data, what is the simple three-period moving average forecast for period 6? Period 1 2 3 4 5 67.67 68.2 67.3 68.4 Value 73 66 64 73 66

a. What is the mean square error for time periods 2 through 4 using the average forecasting method? b. What is the mean absolute error for time periods 2 through 4 using the average forecasting method? c. What is the mean absolute percentage error for time period 2 through 4 using the average forecasting method? Round all answers to two decimal places. Time Period 1 2 3 4   Mean absolute error (MAE) Mean squared error (MSE) Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) Electric Bill 510 315 420 480                           Average Forecast                 Forecast Error

The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Woodlawn Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 - a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.10, 0.30, and 0.60, using 0.60 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.) Week Of c) If the forecasted demand for the week of August 31 is 360 and a = 0.20, using exponential smoothing, develop the forecast for each of the weeks with the known demand and the forecast for the week of October 12 (round your responses to two decimal places). August 31 September 7 September 14…

41) A medium-term forecast is considered to cover what length of time? A) 2-4 weeks B) 1 month to 1 year C) 2-4 years D) 5-10 years E) 20 years 42) When is the exponential smoothing model equivalent to the naïve forecasting model? A) ? = 0 B) ? = 0.5 C) ? = 1 D) during the first period in which it is used E) never 43) Enrollment in a particular class for the last four semesters has been 120, 126, 110, and 130. Suppose a one-semester moving average was used to forecast enrollment (this is sometimes referred to as a naïve forecast). Thus, the forecast for the second semester would be 120, for the third semester it would be 126, and for the last semester it would be 110. What would the MSE be for this situation? A) 196.00 B) 230.67 C) 100.00 D) 42.00 E) None of the above 44) Which of the following methods tells whether the forecast tends to be too high or too low? A) MAD B) MSE C) MAPE D) decomposition E) bias 45) Assume that you have tried three different…

The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: S Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = pints (round your response to two decimal places) b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.15, 0.35, and 0.50, using 0.50 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = order the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.) c) If the forecasted demand for the week of August 31 is 350 and a = 0.30, using exponential smoothing, develop the forecast for each of the weeks with the known demand and the forecast for the week of October 12 (round your responses to two decimal places) Week Of Pints Used Forecast for this Date 350 350.00 356.00 August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 October 12 Pints…