4. What is the expected value of building a medium complex when the market research study is done? (a) $564, 000 $624,000 (b) (c) $583, 000 (d) $563, 320 (e) $536, 680

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter12: Probability
Section12.4: Discrete Random Variables; Applications To Decision Making
Problem 22E
icon
Related questions
Question
100%

A development corporation purchased land that will be the site of a new luxury condominium complex. Management is considering a six month market research study designed to learn more about potential market acceptance of the condominium project. Management anticipates that, if conducted, the market research study will provide one of the following two results.

1. Favorable report (F): A significant number of the individuals contacted express interest in purchasing a condominium.

2. Unfavorable report (U): Very few of the individuals contacted express interest in purchasing a condo- minium.

After deciding whether to conduct the market research study, they have the following two decision alternatives.

d1 = a small complex with 30 condominiums
d2 = a medium complex with 60 condominiums
Following this, a chance event concerning the demand for the condominiums has two states of nature. s1 = strong demand for the condominiums
s2 = weak demand for the condominiums
The payoffs, probabilities, and decision tree associated with this problem are given on the next page.

Note that payoffs are given in thousands of dollars.

I got the answer as $563,320 answer choice D. 

4. What is the expected value of building a medium complex when the market research study is done?
$564, 000
$624, 000
$583, 000
$563, 320
$536, 680
(b)
(d)
(e)
Transcribed Image Text:4. What is the expected value of building a medium complex when the market research study is done? $564, 000 $624, 000 $583, 000 $563, 320 $536, 680 (b) (d) (e)
With
Research 2
1
F 0.59
No
Research
U 0.41
3
d₁
d₂
4
5
d₂
d₁
d₂
6
7
8
9
10
11
S₁0.56
$₂ 0.44
S₁0.56
$₂0.44
$₁0.19
$₂ 0.81
S₁ 0.19
$₂ 0.81
S₁ 0.41
$₂ 0.59
S₁ 0.41
$₂ 0.59
200
600
800
400
200
600
800
400
200
600
800
400
Transcribed Image Text:With Research 2 1 F 0.59 No Research U 0.41 3 d₁ d₂ 4 5 d₂ d₁ d₂ 6 7 8 9 10 11 S₁0.56 $₂ 0.44 S₁0.56 $₂0.44 $₁0.19 $₂ 0.81 S₁ 0.19 $₂ 0.81 S₁ 0.41 $₂ 0.59 S₁ 0.41 $₂ 0.59 200 600 800 400 200 600 800 400 200 600 800 400
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 3 steps with 4 images

Blurred answer
Recommended textbooks for you
Calculus For The Life Sciences
Calculus For The Life Sciences
Calculus
ISBN:
9780321964038
Author:
GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:
Pearson Addison Wesley,
Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition…
Holt Mcdougal Larson Pre-algebra: Student Edition…
Algebra
ISBN:
9780547587776
Author:
HOLT MCDOUGAL
Publisher:
HOLT MCDOUGAL