A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN: 9780134753119
Author: Sheldon Ross
Publisher: PEARSON
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- Suppose you try to conduct a presidential approval poll of 5,000 likely U.S. voters. You know that 25% of the voters are registered as Republican, 31% are registered as Democrat, and 42% are registered as Independent. If you are going to construct a representative sample of this population, approximately how many of the likely voters in the sample should be: a. Republican b. Democrat c. Independent d. Notice the sum of the percents is not 100. What could account for this?arrow_forward1.3. Suppose you favor one of two alternatives but only 10% of the electorate agrees with your position. Is there a voting method that leads to victory for your position that is (a) anonymous? (b) neutral? (c) anonymous and neutral? (d) monotone? (e) anonymous, neutral, and monotone?arrow_forward2 30 Each family in Green Country is classified as living in an urban, rural, or suburban location. During a given year, 15% of all urban families move to a suburban location, and 5% move to a rural location; also, 6% of all suburban families move to an urban location, and 4% move to a rural location; finally, 4% of all rural families move to an urban location, and 6% move to a suburban location. a. If a family now lives in an urban location, what is the probability that it will live in an urban area two years from now? A suburban area? A rural area? b. Suppose that at present, 40% of all families live in an urban area, 35% live in a suburban area, and 25% live in a rural area. Two years from now, what percentage of Green Country families will live in an urban area? c. What is the future population distribution of the Green Country at the steady state?arrow_forward
- Democratic and Republican presidential state primary elections differ in the way winning candidates are awarded delegates. In Republican states, the winner is awarded all the state's delegates; conversely, the Democratic state winner is awarded delegates in proportion to the percentage of votes. This difference led to an article on making your vote count. Consider scenario where you are one of five county commissioners voting on an issue, where each commissioner is equally likely to vote for or against. Complete parts and b below. a. Your vote (the decisive vote) counts only if the other four voters split, 2 in favor and 2 against. Use the binomial distribution to find the probability that your vote counts. The probability that your vote counts is 0.375. (Type an integer or a decimal. Do not round.) b. If you convince two other commissioners to "vote in bloc" (all agree to vote among yourselves first, and whatever the majority decides is the way all three will vote, guaranteeing that…arrow_forwardA small country consists of seven states; there are 160 seats in the legislature that need to be apportioned among the seven states; and the population of each state is shown below for the years 1990 and 1995. State A B C D E F G 1990 Population 1283 2374 2725 2155 1592 2511 2017 1995 Population 1347 2469 2847 2220 1640 2611 2078 Does the population paradox occur using Hamilton's method of apportionment? Select one: a. Yes b. Noarrow_forward.(20)Use plurality, Borda and Hare methods to decide who wins: 5 4 3 2 1 1st A B C D D 2nd B C D A B 3rd D D A B C 4th C A B C Aarrow_forward
- Exit polling is a popular technique used to determine the outcome of an election prior to results being tallied. Suppose a referendum to increase funding for education is on the ballot in a large town (voting population over 100,000). An exit poll of 400 voters finds that 208 voted for the referendum. How likely are the results of your sample if the population proportion of voters in the town in favor of the referendum is 0.49? Based on your result, comment on the dangers of using exit polling to call elections. 5: 5 on (7: StatC Comment on the dangers of using exit polling to call elections. Choose the correct answer below. O A. The result is not unusual because the probability that p is equal to or more extreme than the sample proportion is greater than 5%. Thus, it is not unusual for a wrong call to be made in an election if exit polling alone is considered. O B. The result is unusual because the probability that p is equal to or more extreme than the sample proportion is less than…arrow_forward2. A survey on a sample of 35 new cars being sold at a local auto dealer was conducted to see which of three popular options: Air-conditioning (A), Bluetooth (B), and Rear Camera (C), were already installed. The survey found: 18 had A, 13 had B, 12 had C, 5 had A and B, 8 had A and C, 6 had B and C, 4 had all three options. Find the number of cars that had (a) A and B but not C, (b) A and C but not B, (c) B and C but not A; (d) only one of the options; (e) at least one option; (f) exactly two options; (g) none of the options.arrow_forward
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