1. Let T be the minimal value of n such that X₁ = 0. It is called the extinction time. If the process survives, we set T = ∞. Find P (T=2 | ZO = 1). Lambda= 0.1968, the process will go extinct. 2. Find P (T> 2|20 = 1), where T is the extinction time. Consider the complement of the event {T > 2)

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1. Let T be the minimal value of n such that Xn = 0. It is
called the extinction time. If the process survives, we set
T = ∞. Find P (T= 2 | ZO = 1).
Lambda = 0.1968, the process will go extinct.
2. Find P (T>2|Z0 = 1), where T is the extinction time.
Consider the complement of the event {T > 2}
3.
For n > 1, let fn = P(T > 10|Z₁ = n). Express fa in terms of fi.
Hint: Offspring of 10 individuals in generation zero form 10 independent branching processes.
Survival of the whole process is equivalent to the survival of at least one of these 10 sub-
processes.
Transcribed Image Text:1. Let T be the minimal value of n such that Xn = 0. It is called the extinction time. If the process survives, we set T = ∞. Find P (T= 2 | ZO = 1). Lambda = 0.1968, the process will go extinct. 2. Find P (T>2|Z0 = 1), where T is the extinction time. Consider the complement of the event {T > 2} 3. For n > 1, let fn = P(T > 10|Z₁ = n). Express fa in terms of fi. Hint: Offspring of 10 individuals in generation zero form 10 independent branching processes. Survival of the whole process is equivalent to the survival of at least one of these 10 sub- processes.
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