The Problem with Presidential Primaries
Ever since the election season of 1972, presidential primaries have become “the dominant means of selecting the two major party candidates.”i[i] The primary system is one in which the eligible voters of each state do one of the following: 1) Vote for a presidential candidate to run for their party in the general election. 2) Vote for a delegate pledged to vote for a certain candidate at the party’s national convention. As intended, this process would bring the candidate selection processes out into the open and “let the people vote for the candidate of their choice.”ii[ii] On the surface, this may look very democratic (and admittedly, in some instances it was/is), but upon closer
…show more content…
Standing in his way was the fact that only one of the early primary states had a true open primary—Michigan. Both New Hampshire and South Carolina were considered “modified open primaries”iii[iii] that tended to discourage Independent voting. In addition, Delaware and Arizona were closed primaries that would not allow Independents or Democrats to vote. However, despite the closed primary, McCain’s home state of Arizona was essentially a lock.
Due to heavy campaigning, McCain was able to win New Hampshire by a “48% to 30%”iv[iv] margin. George W. Bush emphatically won the closed Delaware primary by a “51% to 25%”v[v] margin. Bush then went on to win in South Carolina’s modified open primary by a “53% to 42%”vi[vi] margin, thus robbing McCain’s hopes of gaining momentum. Despite this, McCain did get back on the winning track with wins in Michigan’s open primary and in Arizona’s closed primary.
Victories aside, McCain was still going against the mainstream Republicans who were backing Bush. The structure of the primaries early in the season allowed McCain to make a name for himself, but the fact that closed primaries worked and would continue to work against him made winning the nomination extremely difficult.
Proportional Representation vs. Winner-Take-All
Proportional representation is a system used by the Democrats that allows delegates to be
Yet it is a swing state. The record shows despite the victory of President Obama in the state of North Carolina, the state is dominantly Republican since 1960s. Based on the facts, there are slightly more Democratic voters in North Carolina (2.8 million) than Republican voters (2.0 million). 54% of the voters consist of women. These facts favor Hillary Clinton but still both parties would campaign heavily for those 15 electoral votes. According to the early vote in North Carolina, 40 percent of the electorate already cast the ballot and the amount portrays a significant lead towards the former Secretary of State. Overall, Mrs. Clinton led the early votes by 51 to 39 percent in three way race and 53-39 percent in two-way race. Researchers found out the amount of Democratic voters in North Carolina declined in 2016 compared to the amount four years ago. On the other hand, the amount of Republican voters increased this year compared to the amount in 2012. The number of registered Democratic voters declined by 5.1 percent and the number of early voters have dipped by 3.1 percent. This shows the number of Democratic turnout hasn’t dropped as much as the number of registered Democrats. Another side of the early votes show the early votes of Black voters dropped from 28 percent in 2008 to 23 percent in 2016. This shows the lack of enthusiasm from the North Carolina black voters. It
George Wallace’s 1968 candidacy, when he won 46 electoral college votes from 5 southern states, could have deadlocked the Electoral College
will run for the November election, so I think that the primary system breaks down to several
Although he does not serve as a lawyer, McCain has had a positive impact on America, serving as a military leader and representative of the U.S. government. He is recognized as a hero for his honorable morality in his military performance. He, like Hamilton also has had a substantial contribution in America’s government and after serving in the military, delegated his work in politics. He is recognized as a bold conservative, and, like Hamilton, is not afraid to express his opinion towards his political party. McCain has succeeded numerous times and in the most recent election on November 8, 2016, he was re-elected for his sixth term in the U.S. Senate. Just as Hamilton put effort into influencing his political party- the federalist party- in his support for Thomas Jefferson and his efforts to making him the next President, McCain played a role in supporting his party - the Republican Party- by showing his support for Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, and later went on to supporting Trump, but eventually receded from his support after the Washington post was released. Both men’s endorsement towards their specific leader, however, were surprisingly not based off the leaders themselves, but the party they represented. As mentioned before, Hamilton greatly disliked Jefferson, but still supported him, in efforts to do what he believed was the best for the country’s political future. McCain stated, “I am a Republican. I'm loyal to the party of Abraham Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt. And I believe that my party, in some ways, has strayed from those principles, particularly on the issue of fiscal discipline.” (Mccain, 2016) Both men have done remarkable jobs in representing America for what it stands
Iowa party chairman Andy McGuire was quoted saying "The results tonight are the closest in Iowa Democratic caucus history". On the Republican side Texas Senator Ted Cruz beat out who many considered the overwhelming favorite Donald Trump with 27.6 percent of the votes to Trumps 24.3 percent. Even more surprising to many on the Republican side Florida Senator Marco Rubio only finished 1.2 percent behind Donald Trump at 23.1 percent. As if the race wasn’t already highly anticipated, Iowa’s caucuses jumped started it to another level!
The 2016 primary elections have been a mess for both parties but it has insulted millions because their state didn’t allow independents to vote. Bernie Sanders, an independent form the state of Vermont is hoping to win the democratic nomination but has faced massive setbacks because of these closed primaries. Bernie Sanders has overwhelming support from independent voters all around the country, resulting in landslide victories. He crushed his establishment rival Hillary Clinton in Indiana with the help of independents. “Indiana was just the latest example of Sanders’ crossover appeal. He also won big in New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Michigan, where independents are free to participate” (Huffingtonpost). If every state had an open primary system, then Sanders could have been the front runner of his party. In reality the Sanders campaign is struggling to win each state without independents. Sanders argued for having more open contest by stating, “Three million people in the state of New York who are independents have lost their right to vote for the Democratic or Republican primary... That’s wrong.” Of course he’s right because those people could have made a massive change in this election. The most unsettling news out of this is the fact that independent voters could not change party after September. We like to think we have
Many Americans believed that the election of 1860 would decide the fate of the Union. The Democratic Party was the only party in the national scope. The convention in Charleston, South Carolina in 1860 split the Democratic Party. Stephen Douglas wanted his party’s presidential nomination, but he could not afford to alienate northern voters by accepting the southern position on the territories. However, "Southern Democrats insisted on recognition of their rights, as the Dred Scott decision had defined them and they moved to block Douglas’s nomination"( Bialy, 2007, p. 383). Douglas obtained a majority for his version of the platform, delegates from the South walked out of the convention. After compromise efforts the Democrats presented two
The presidential primaries have a long and rich history with the U.S. It goes back to when George
The framers of the constitution designed the United States electoral process to give a voice to the voiceless. They sought to ensure that the American people would play a direct role in the selection of their leaders rather than being forced to endure the policies of a ‘tyrannical’ government that neglects the rights of its citizens, such as the English monarchy prior to the revolution. However, this system has degraded over the years as presidential candidates’ focus has been pulled away from the interests and issues of constituent voters in favor of exorbitant fundraising and catering to swing states in order to gain political momentum. The presidential electoral process requires extensive reform in the areas of primary election and caucus structures, along with campaign finance regulations, in order to make presidential candidates more responsive to the legitimate needs and concerns of the majority rather than fixating on the interests of specific and strategically important groups. The ultimate goal of reform will be to aid candidates with abandoning the parochial interests of polarized party politics and considering multiple viewpoints regarding relevant issues, in order to advocate for policies that
However, whilst the primaries are fundamentally democratic they do not detract the full power of party bosses, who still have control over who runs for president. It is very hard for an outsider to run for President let alone win. The only two exceptions to this rule are Jimmy Carter (Arguably the worst President in since Andrew Johnson and Barack Obama who may also become a one term
However, I would like to extend his observations to primary campaigns using my own analysis. Recently, John Kasich came in second in the New Hampshire. Despite not winning John Kasich outperformed other establishment candidates like Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush. However, Kasich seemingly focused solely on New Hampshire conducting over 100 town halls in the state. Further, Kasich has attempted to present himself nationally as the most moderate of the Republicans. In my opinion, Kasich has done this strategically to win votes in the more moderate New Hampshire. The question remains though can Kasich carry this strategy farther. In my opinion, Kasich has to focus on Nevada and hope for a decent result. Further, Kasich has to strategically travel to the “Rust Belt” and the northeast to remain competitive. Thus, if Kasich’s strategic design of being more moderate to appeal he will have to continue to travel strategically in state’s that are more moderate.
In 2003 the Democrats still figured out how to hold a 17-15 point of interest inside the state's U.S. House delegation, a bonus to the new electoral map was intended to undo. The Republicans' manage to hang on to the administration and the Democrats' determination to recapture lost ground uncover however far the state has come since the times of the democratic form of government. In 2004, both parties admonished the committee to get out the vote through time-regarded grassroots organizing on the local and precinct levels, while at the same time using new innovations and methods to expand partisan mobilization. As a quick come about, in numerous parts of the state, turnout sailed above historic averages.
Patrick Murphy, Democrat, is a congressman challenging Marco Rubio’s Florida Senate seat. Marco Rubio is advantaged, both by incumbency and his presidential campaign. As an incumbent, Rubio should have an advantage over Murphy for numerous reasons. John Sides et al. succinctly explains how incumbents have more campaign and political experience,
As far as the actual turn out at the primaries vs. how a candidate will do during an election have no connection. Although the republican turnout went up and the democratic turnout went down it just proves that there is more completion during the primaries (Enten). By looking at a graph that shows the comparison of popular vote (an act of voting by the electorate of country or area) and Electoral College (body of people who represent the U.S. and cast votes on the president and vice president) here really isn’t a
The introduction to electoral primaries widened my perspective of the presidential elections. I learned the different kinds primary procedures utilized across the country. To promote voter participation, an open primary is used. Caucus methods being one version of electoral primary, however, is among the least used in the US.