The Effects Of Oil Prices On The Demand And Supply Of Oil

Several oil-countries have been facing economic and political turbulence as a result of the crash in oil prices, and there is disagreement among OPEC as how to handle the situation. (Krauss) While this is happening, America’s oil production continues to rise, as it inches closer to becoming an energy superpower in production and consumption; and countries that depend on their oil exports face recession.

Oil is the product that each and every one of us use. It can be used for fuel, heating and even cooking. The most often known for unstable price is crude oil or gasoline. According to the The Economist, The main reason for price shifts of oil is oversupply. The oil production in Saudi rose 10.3 million barrels per day. This increase is the effect of a new method that I being applied to oil extraction. This method is called fracking, fracking is where they drill into tight-rock formations then gradually turning horizontal for several thousand feet more. This results to accommodations to multiple oil wells. This new approved method of oil harvesting has raised the productivity gains and reduced the cost of harvesting oil.

The featured article “The End of Oil,” the author, Alex Kuhlman argues that oil production is decreasing due to the costs of production are rising because cheap and easily accessible oil is hard to find despite increased consumption.(Kuhlman, 2007). Kuhlman (2007) provides evidence both from oil demand and supply aspects to illustrate the imbalance which causes the end of oil.

The consensus from the 1970s and 1980s was that there was an inverse relationship between oil prices and real economic activities. This belief later changed when the oil price crash of the mid-1980s failed to boost economic growth. Researchers then believed that increasing oil prices negatively affect the economy whereas falling oil prices have very little impact and by the 1990s this impact was assumed to be minimal (DePratto, de Resende and Maier 2009). More recently, researchers have found that increases in the oil prices adversely affect the economy whereas the impact of a decline in oil prices on GDP growth is only negligible (Jimenez-Rodriguez and Sanchez

United States domestic production has nearly doubled over the last several years, pushing out oil imports that need to find another home. Saudi, Nigerian and Algerian oil that once was sold in the United States is suddenly competing for Asian markets, and the producers are forced to drop prices. Canadian and Iraqi oil production and exports are rising year after year. Even the Russians, with all their economic problems, manage to keep pumping. There are signs, however, that production is falling in the United States and some other oil-producing countries because of the drop in exploration investments. But the drop in production is not happening fast enough, especially with output from deep waters off the Gulf of Mexico and Canada continuing to build as new projects comes online. On the demand side, the economies of Europe and developing countries are weak and vehicles are becoming more energy-efficient. So demand for fuel is lagging a bit.

In a revealing article by George Perry (2001) the author discusses the economic impact that a disruption in the oil supplies would have on world oil prices. He states “Currently 28 percent of the world's crude oil comes from the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC) consisting of Arab Muslim nations, some of which are not part of the OPEC cartel. The governing regimes in all these countries are at some risk [due to the war on terrorism].” He goes on to state that in a worst case scenario the economic consequences of oil supply disruption would be “oil prices rise to $161 per barrel driving gasoline price to $4.84 per gallon. The increase in the nation's bill for products of crude oil rises by about 10 percent of GDP, which adds perhaps 15 percent to the inflation rate in the first year. And the recession is the steepest and deepest of the postwar period, with GDP declining nearly 5 percent the first year.”

A group of researchers show that oil price fluctuation have significant impact on the economic activity. The significant are expected different from oil importing and exporting countries. (Soytas, Sari, Hammoudeh, & Hacihasanoglu, 2009). However, those countries exporting oil an increase in the oil price considered good news to them. When the price of oil increase the exporting, countries gain more money, but for importing countries when the oil price decreases, it’s going to have an impact on their real economy especial when the country relies on the oil as one of their main source of income. The monetary transmission mechanism which has the control on the interest rate which the oil price have has an impact on

Oil and gasoline prices follow a trend that sparks mixed reactions from different industry stakeholders in the America’s economy. The trends on oil and gasoline and their stability have immense impact on the performance of the economy based on their primary as energy. The government’s ability to ensure stability in price movement is seen as a key step towards fostering steady economic growth. A variety of factors are at play in the determination of these trends exhibited by the oil prices in America. Some of these factors are attributable to the market forces and understanding them would be instrumental in resolving economic problems resulting

Over the longer-term, some of the major trends that affect the price of oil are consumption for business and personal use. For example, Anderson and Boul (2005) note that China's economic growth has resulted in that nation having steadily increasing demand for oil. Much of this comes from growth of the country's consumer class, with automobile sales, and from growth in industrial uses for oil. India, the US, and the world's modern economies are all big users of oil, so the drivers of demand in these nations can have an impact on world markets for oil.

During this period, the price of ‘Brent’ crude oil (like WTI) reached an all time high in July of 145.61 USD/BBL in response to strong economic conditions prior to the Global Financial Crisis hitting in early 2009. The price of ‘Brent’ crude oil also similarly bottomed out in 1970, with a record low of 2.23 USD/BBL and following the GFC, prices sharply fell, with prices at 62.04 USD/BBL as of April 2015. Over the 45-year period, significant events such as the GFC, the Iran/Iraq war, the Iranian revolution and various OPEC cuts (as shown in graph 1) has caused the price of ‘Brent’ crude oil and crude oil as a whole to historically be fairly volatile and as such, these various political and economy-wide factors provide an explanation for volatility in prices over the past 45 years.

It was once thought that oil was Price Inelastic, yet since the introduction of Hybrid cars, and people cutting down their consumption of oil. Prices have dropped from over $4.00 a gallon and, their demand for oil. The prices still creep higher and it fairly inelastic, but there is a breaking point in a market once thought to be as inelastic as insulin.

The article I intend to analyze in this text appeared in the Yahoo! Business & Finance website. The article points out that "raising global supplies and lower-than-expected demand" for oil most particularly in China and the U.S. has led to a drop in the price of the same and consequently, a decrease in the price of gasoline (AAP, 2013). In this text, I will largely focus on the trends in consumption patterns of gasoline.

Crude oil is still a driving force of the world economy today. Changes in the price of oil have significant effects on economic growth, development and welfare in countries. Oil price volatility has had its ups and downs in the past year as well as the past decade. Oil prices fluctuate for a number of reasons. One reason why oil prices fluctuated is because of rising global economic activity. It can increase demand and push prices higher, while rising production can cause prices to decline. During the last financial crisis there was a grueling time for oil prices as they had fallen about 50% during that time. (Moors, 2011) Many studies have shown that economic effects of oil price can increase or decrease and they typically show that for oil importing developed economics (Moors, 2011). This paper that I have written thoroughly investigates the role of oil price volatility. My paper also focuses on the variability of positive and negative oil price shocks as seen in Germany, Japan and United sates.

What affect does the price of oil and gas have on the economy? How does this affect the daily lives of the entire population? The preceding questions are the basis for the enclosed report. The primary objective of this report is to give a few reasons as to what causes prices of oil and prices of gas to rise. Among these reasons, speculation of things that may or may not happen, like a terrorist strike, is one of the leading factors. Another reason for the continued rise in prices of oil and gas is the constant growth that China is experiencing in population and energy consumption.

In the short run, both global demand and supply of oil are relatively inelastic because it is difficult for them to make large adjustments to price changes in a short period of time. When oil price rises, oil consumers, such as manufacturing firms and households, may not be able to reduce their demand for oil immediately. For example, individuals still need to drive to work and manufacturing firms with long-term contracts still need to run machinery to meet target output. Similarly, an increase in oil price would not stimulate oil supply in the short run. Additional supply generally requires the exploration of new reserves and construction of new infrastructure for delivery which require substantial