1. In your own words, explain what the "Business Cycle" is. Business cycle is Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measure. The cycle is an increase and decrease of monetary value throughout the entire cycle.
a. Why it is important for a company to try and forecast the Business Cycle? It is important for a company to try and forecast the Business Cycle to indicate practices beneficial and not beneficial to the organization with the goal of an upward trend line and minimal increase and decrease to GDP for steady growth in the Business Cycle.
b. In general, are short-term forecasts more or less accurate than long-term forecasts? Explain. Short-Term forecasts overall is less accurate than long-term forecasts. Data collected over a sufficient period create a clearer analysis of three of four
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Market experiments are based on smaller scales.
2. Market experiments are based on short-term controlled conditions.
3. Market experiments price changes can result in loss of customers ( D.N. Dwivedi).
c. If you were to design a statistical sample in order to estimate a demand curve, would you conduct a random sample of the general population, a targeted sample, or a randomized-targeted sample? Explain. If I were to design a statistical sample, I would design a random sample in order to estimate a demand curve. A random sample is choosing any of the population for survey, which might tell me what a random person expects to see in a product. Other scenarios might dictate the better approach, an example is if you wanted to find out what would be the most popular beard dye than you might consider using a target sample to target the male population.
d. Assume your staff presents you with 2 different regressions of a demand curve for your most important product. One of the regressions has an R-squared of 0.86 and the other has an R-squared of 0.61. Assume that both regressions have a t-value for the coefficient of 1.8. Which would you choose to work with and
Forecasting is used in all businesses. Forecasting is used to help businesses decide how much they should produce and where to sell a product. Forecasting can aid a company in knowing the lifecycle of a product, which can help them to determine when and if they should discontinue a product. Forecasting can also help managers close the gap between supply and demand. If a forecast is properly predicted the supply of a product can satisfy the demand of the product. Forecasting is not always accurate however, and can lead to either over production of a product or underproduction of a product.
A political business cycle is the concept that politicians are more interested in reelection than in stabilizing the economy. Before the election, they enact tax cuts and spending increases to please voters even though this may fuel inflation. After the election, they apply the brakes to restrain inflation; the economy will slow and unemployment will rise. In this view the political process creates economic instability.
According to Schutt (2008), sampling is defined as a subset of population used in a study to be a representation of the population as a whole. My final project is a pre-hire assessment which analyzes potential risky pattern behaviors and emotions in the work place. One of the most important considerations related to sampling that will need to be addressed in my final project is defining the population that will be taking the assessment.
Another important factor to consider when starting a business is the “business cycle.” The business cycle is the fluctuations in economic activity that an economy will experience over a period of time. We have experience may business cycles in the United States. We refer to them as expansions and recessions. In an expansions, the economic outlook is good and growth happens, without inflation. Recessions are when the economy is shrinking and the determination factors for a recession include unemployment, low industry production, decrease sales and lower incomes. Since 1854, The United States has experienced 33
Hint: Business cycles fluctuate over time around the linear trend of gross domestic product (GDP).
All of these factors have an enormous impact on my selected business (Barclays) as the economy goes from growth and decline. As well as many others, Barclays is majorly affected as it is in the financial industry. These different factors appear throughout what is called the ‘Business Cycle’. The cycle shows the fluctuation of the activity within the economy over a period of time and consists of 4 main stages; as well as many others,
Think about the character you used during the “Living the Great Depression” activity. Is your character male or female? How old is your character? What is your character’s position in life? What is your character’s background? Does your character have other people who are dependent on him or her? Everything about a person and his or her background can influence the thoughts and opinions a person has.
In the Shadow of the Mexican Revolution by Hector Aquilar Camin and Lorenzo Meyer tells a chronological story of contemporary Mexico from the fall of Porfirio Diaz in 1910 to the July elections in 1989. The time period that Camin and Meyer portray in Mexico is one of corruption, civil war, and failure. While Mexico would undergo an era described as the “Mexican Miracle” where the Mexican country would begin to see a positive output in the country, it would be short-lived and Mexico would continue to fall behind as other countries progressed. While In the Shadow of the Mexican Revolution is comprised of facts throughout history, one cannot help but feel a sense of sympathy for Mexico. While their corruption, political, and economical,
In this paper, I will explain the roles and importance of the Business cycle Dating committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research. I will also explain how the NBER defines and dates recessions. Finally I will explain the important aspects and effects of the last recession.
D. there is no way to determine what has happened to supply and demand with this information
Donald Trump’s Immigration plan is the opposite of any other immigration plan. Mr. Trump plans to build a wall/ fence along the US border. Donald Trump said “I will build a great wall - and nobody builds walls better than me, believe me- and I’ll build them very inexpensively. I will build a great, great wall on our southern border, and I will make Mexico pay for that wall. Mark my words” (Ortiz). If Donald Trump becomes president, his plan is to send all terrorists and immigrants etc. to return home and apply for reentry (procon.org). Donald Trump will upgrade all immigration laws.
When entering the digital content market has required noticeable investments from the Company in the form of expenses and sizable capital
Timing of the business cycle is not predictable, but its phases seem to be. Many economists site four phases—prosperity, liquidation, depression, and recovery. During a period of prosperity, a rise in production leads to increases in employment, wages, and profits. Obstacles then begin to obstruct further expansion. Production costs can increase, helping create a rise in prices, and
According to Hair et al. (2003), in the research, the sampling process enables identifying, developing and understanding an interested object that need to be determined (p.333). Hence, in order for the researcher to carry out the sampling appropriately, advantages and disadvantages of the various sampling methods should be considered along with the theoretical component of the study (Hair et al. 2003, p. 368 f). Theoretically, the sampling procedure is divided into two major types which consist of probability and nonprobability sampling. In probability sampling, individuals have a known chance of being selected. While, in non-probability sampling, individuals do not have a known possibility to be selected (Sekaran 2003, p. 269 f). Also, the different sampling methods provide different advantages and disadvantages. Hence, the researcher should consider this point before choosing the sampling method for the