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Point Paper Caucasus Region

Decent Essays

STRATEGIC ESTIMATE OF THE CAUCASUS REGION

• Non-US/Multinational Policy Goals, include NATO expansion in size and influence). Relations with Russia. Create an independent Kurdish nation.
• US Domestic Considerations are the oil pipeline through the Southern Caucasus Region and the Black Sea for trade access.
• Ahurastan interests include having international recognition as a sovereign nation and they want 25% share of the offshore oil reserves of the Caspian Sea.
• Non-State SAPA (South Azeri People’s Army) (Military) “traditionalist insurgents” objectives aimed against GOAZ (Government of Azerbaijan). Supported by Ahurastan.
• Non-State SAPP(South Azeri Peoples Party) (Political) “traditionalist insurgents”
• Non-State Free Karabakh …show more content…

Ahurastan openly supports this insurgency. In 2017 SAPA trained and equipped a fundamentals regime in Iran began attacking Azerbaijani army units.

b. The FKM has interfered with Azerbaijani police effort to maintain order in the region and is a growing problem. In November 2019 the FKM who is funded by GOAZ attacked an Armenian Nuclear Power station at Metsamor, 20 kilometer south of Yerevan.

c. The Caspian Sea is among five states and remains a source of tension. More than 15 rounds of negotiations have failed to reach an agreement by all parties. Azerbaijan, Ahurastan, and Iran claim the Araz-Alov-Sharg oil field in the Caspian Sea.

d. Russia has enforced a naval blockade of all maritime traffic since October 2017. North of 42 degrees north latitude in the Caspian Sea, while expanding oil exploration there. Russian and Kazakhstan assert their claims over the territorial sea area.

2. CURRENT STATUS. Azerbaijan’s rail system from Georgia to Baku has been upgraded by U.S. Army Reserve engineer units. Road and water distribution networks along Kura River valley have been over-hauled. Several regional airfields have been paved and enlarged.

a. Ahurastan seceded from Iran in 2018-2019. The Ahurastan objective in supporting SAPP creates conflicts in the region.

b. Armenia’s primary domestic issue is a reliable source of energy to sustain its

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